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Topic: Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata - Primera División Rnd.3 18/02/16 00:30  (Read 113 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    Sarmiento 0-0 Gimn La Plata
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    Stats » Primera División Argentina » Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata

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    • Posts: 151825
      Analysis: Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata (18 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 15 2016, 14:52 »

      Sarmiento and Gimnasia La Plata meet at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, in a match for the 3rd round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 11‑05‑2015, and ended in a draw by (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Sarmiento

      Currently in the ª position of the league, the home team hasn't won any points so far. In the 1st round, they won at home against Vélez Sarsfield by (1‑0). In the following round, the final score was a (2‑1) loss in an away match against San Lorenzo. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. Sarmiento has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 16 matches have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Sarmiento hasn't had its work cut out in the first two rounds of the Campeonato Argentino, facing two excellent opponents. So there is great expectation towards this next match, where the team will be back home and facing an easier opponent than San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield. In addition, Sarmiento isn't used to great performances in the national championship and usually finds itself fighting relegation. So the team knows that they have to take advantage of the games they play at home and are facing teams that are theoretically weaker to take all of the 3 points of the matchup.

      Analysis of Gimn La Plata

      The away team is currently in the ª position of the league, no points won yet. In their debut they lost in an away match against Banfield, by (2‑0). In the second round, they won in a home match against Patronato, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Gimnasia La Plata has won 2, tied 1 and lost 7. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 18 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      So far, the team hasn't shown a lot of potential, having lost in the first round and beating an extremely weak team in the second. Even in the win, the team showed a lot of difficulties, conceding two goals and only scoring the winning goal in the final minutes of the game. So the defense has been showing signs of being weak, conceding two goals in each of the first two games. Now, playing away, the difficulties should be even worse. With the squad that Gimnasia y Esgrima has, I find it hard to believe that they can turn things around in the short term and win a game away from home. The previous season was as expected, since they finished in the middle of the table, showing no potential to play at the same level of the great teams.

      Betting suggestion:

      Neither team are one of the greats from Argentina, but it's worth mentioning the awful performance that Gimnasia has on the defensive side. And it should only get worse, since the team is playing away from home. Sarmiento is playing at home and is facing a weak team for the first time in the competition. So it seems fair to believe that the home team, even with some difficulties, will come away with a win.

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      Stats » Primera División » Sarmiento vs Gimn La Plata