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Topic: PSG vs Chelsea - UEFA Champions League 8th Finals 16/02/16 19:45  (Read 147 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-07-26
    2015
    PSG 1-1

    PG 5-6

    Chelsea
    2015-03-11
    14/15
    Chelsea 1-1

    ET 2-2

    PSG
    2015-02-17
    14/15
    PSG 1-1 Chelsea
    2014-04-08
    13/14
    Chelsea 2-0 PSG
    2014-04-02
    13/14
    PSG 3-1 Chelsea
    2012-07-23
    2012
    PSG 1-1 Chelsea
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    Stats » UEFA Champions League Europe » PSG vs Chelsea

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    • Posts: 153797
      Analysis: PSG vs Chelsea (16 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 14 2016, 14:41 »

      PSG and Chelsea face at Parc des Princes, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals). The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 4 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 6 head‑to‑heads. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 26‑07‑2015, and ended in a (5‑6) win by Chelsea, after a penalty shootout.

      Analysis of PSG

      The home team got access to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 2nd position of Group A, with 13 points won. They come to this match after a home draw against Lille by (0‑0). PSG has won 9 and tied 1 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 6 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 31 of the last 34 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have been able to score first and have done so in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 13 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      PSG comes for this match after a draw, at home, against Lille, in a match on which the team demonstrated a lack of concentration at the finish. In this match the coach Laurent Blanc will play in the usual 4-3-3 focusing on the ball possession and the organized attacks. Furthermore, the Parisian team will want to conquer a significant advantage in this first leg and then, the team must act with a very offensive strategy. Although they didn’t align in the last match, the Swede Zlatan Ibrahimovic is back to the choices of the French coach. The forward has scored 27 goals this season. It seems all the players are available at this match.

      Analysis of Chelsea

      The away team comes to this stage of the UEFA Champions League (8th Finals) after having finished the group stage in the 1st position of Group G, with 13 points won. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got a home win against Newcastle United by (5‑1). Their last away match was for the Premier League and ended in a draw by (0‑0) against Watford. In the last 10 away matches Chelsea has won 4, tied 3 and lost 3. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Chelsea comes very motivated for this match after the triumph achieved at home against Newcastle, recording the 12th consecutive match without winning. In this match it’s foreseeable that the coach Guus Hiddink will play in the usual tactical system, ie, four players in the defensive sector, five in the midfield and one in the offensive one. As it would be expectable, the team must adopt a very defensive strategy, with the sectors close, leaving Diego Costa more free in the front of attack. It’s important to note that the Spanish is the best scorer of the team with 11 scored goals. For this match Zouma and Hawk will be absents, and John Terry is in doubt due to injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be  is the existence of slight goals. We believe that PSG will dominate and will take advantage of the best opportunities to score but, with some difficulty in scoring goals. On the other hand, Chelsea will act very defensively, just exploring the counterattack, reducing significantly the probability to score. So, it’s foreseeable that this will be a hotly contested match and without a lot of goals on the final scoreboard.


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