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Topic: Augsburg vs Bayern München - Bundesliga Rnd.21 14/02/16 16:30  (Read 118 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Augsburg vs Bayern München

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      Analysis: Augsburg vs Bayern München (14 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 11 2016, 17:00 »

      Augsburg and Bayern München meet at WWK Arena, in a match for the 21th round of the Bundesliga. Bayern München got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 12‑09‑2015. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 13‑12‑2014, Bayern München won by (0‑4). M. Benatia (58' ), A. Robben (59' and 71' ) and R. Lewandowski (68' ) scored the goals of the match for Bayern München. Augsburg registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Augsburg

      The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Ingolstadt, by (2‑1). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. For the league, Augsburg won 9 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have suffered 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Augsburg comes for this match after an away home defeat against Ingolstadt, returning to the defeats three matches later. The home team chooses to use a very defensive strategy, with a line of four defenders, five midfielders and only one forward. Bobadilla is the most offensive reference of Augsburg, being this the best scorer with 10 scored goals. For this match the coach Markus Weinzierl won’t count on Werner Baier, Callsen-Bracker, Manninger, Framberger, Parker, Schuster, Reinthaler, Ji Won and Max, all recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 53 points won, after 17 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Hoffenheim, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Bayer Leverkusen, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 15 wins at their stadium, with 50 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away win against Bochum by (0‑3). In the last 10 away league matches Bayern München has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (4 out of 10 matches) and 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Bayern Munich comes motivated for this match after the good results and, in the last match they beat Bochum in the German Cup. In this match it’s foreseeable that coach Pep Guardiola will play in the usual 4-3-3, favoring the attacking football since the first minute of the match. Douglas Costa, Robben and Lewandowski are the forwards of the team, being the first two the players responsible for creating spaces in the opponent’s defensive line. The last player is the best scorer of Bayern Munich with 29 scored goals. For this match Xabi Alonso is suspended; Ribery, Boateng, Martínez, Gotze, Benatia and Ulreich are still recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that there will be slight goals. Augsburg usually concedes few goals and presents a very interesting defensive sector, being expectable will finish the match with a few scored goals. From the other side, Bayern Munich will dominate the match; however, they won’t accelerate much after being at an advantage. So, we believe this match won’t have more than three goals.


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