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Topic: Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla - Primera División Rnd.23 07/02/16 17:15  (Read 119 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla

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      Analysis: Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla (07 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 05 2016, 15:08 »

      Celta de Vigo and Sevilla face at Abanca‑Balaídos, in a match for the 23th round of the Primera División. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑09‑2015, Celta de Vigo got an away win by (1‑2). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 10‑05‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Santi Mina (58' ) scored for Celta de Vigo and K. Gameiro (8' ) for Sevilla. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 7th and 5th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 10th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Celta de Vigo

      The home team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 34 points won, after 10 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Rayo Vallecano, by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Las Palmas, by (2‑1). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away loss against Sevilla by (4‑0). In the last 10 home league matches Celta de Vigo has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      One of the biggest weapons of the home team is that they usually make good use of goal opportunities. Celta usually controls its matches through ball possession and short passes. They also prefer attacking through the left wing, making good use of the offensive quality of winger Planas. Rubén Blanco and Díaz, apart from Nolito, are recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 36 points won, after 10 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Atlético Madrid, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Levante, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 30 points at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 12 goals conceded at home, against 5 goals scored and 11 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got a home win against Celta de Vigo by (4‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Sevilla has a record of 6 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (4 out of 10 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      The away team usually plays with many players in the midfield, as not to allow spaces in defence and attack from the centre. However, Sevilla usually attacks more through the wings. Another of their features is that they usually make good use of offensive set pieces. The away coach will not be able to count on Krychowiak, Pareja and Andreolli, who are all recovering from injuries. Coach Unai Emery is suspended and will not be able to sit in the bench.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Sevilla won’t win. Although they seem to have better individual arguments, in the last 10 away league matches they haven’t tied a single match. Therefore, Celta should get at least a tie in this match.


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