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Topic: Tondela vs Vitória Guimarães - Primeira Liga Rnd.21 06/02/16 20:45  (Read 202 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-09-13
    15/16
    Guimarães 1-0 Tondela



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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Tondela vs Vitória Guimarães

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 151618
      Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória Guimarães (06 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 05 2016, 16:24 »

      Tondela and Vitória Guimarães face at Estádio João Cardoso, in a match for the 21th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 13‑09‑2015, Vitória Guimarães got a home win by (1‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Tondela

      The home team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 9 points won, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Boavista, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nacional, by (3‑1). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Tondela has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 losses in the last home matches and they haven't won any of the last 8 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 4 of the last 20 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 2 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 16 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      The home team is going through a terrible moment, with many defensive and offensive problems. Dolly Menga is the player of the team with the most technical quality and is known for his dribbling speed. Against an opponent of superior quality, Tondela should organize its defensive line its own goal and try to explore counterattacks. Nathan Junior, with 4 goals scored this season, is the best scorer of Tondela, so they clearly lack offensive efficiency.

      Analysis of Guimarães

      The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Belenenses, by (3‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against União Madeira, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 27 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times but have turned the score around in 4.

      Vitória de Guimarães comes to this match motivated by a 3-1 home win over União da Madeira. The away team usually has problems creating goal opportunities and lacks offensive efficiency, since the best scorer of the team is Henrique Dourado, who has only scored 8 goals os far this season. The away team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with Licá, Henrique Dourado and Valente in front. But Valente has been suspended, so in his place should be Alexandre Silva.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Guimarães will win. Apart from the negative form moment of Tondela, the away team is currently in the 6th position of the league and is one of the teams with the most points won in the second half of the season. Moreover, Guimarães has more individual and collective arguments, so they should win the 3 points in this round.


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