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Topic: Rennes vs Saint-Étienne - Ligue 1 Rnd.24 04/02/16 20:00  (Read 110 times)

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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Rennes vs Saint-Étienne

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      Analysis: Rennes vs Saint-Étienne (04 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 02 2016, 17:01 »

      Rennes and Saint‑Étienne face at Roazhon Park, in a match for the 24th round of the Ligue 1. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 06‑12‑2015, these teams have tied (1‑1). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 3. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Ligue 1, on 18‑01‑2015, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Rennes

      After 8 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 34 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Bordeaux by (4‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Gazélec Ajaccio. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. For the league, Rennes won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Rennes comes to this match lacking motivation, after the loss against Bordeaux in the last round, so they now register 2 losses in the last 3 rounds. Coach Rolland Courbis usually plays in a 4-4-2 formation. Colombian is the player who most stands out in this team and is responsible for organizing Rennes’s attacks. Ntep and Giovanni Sio should play in front, but the coach will not be able to count on Baal, Mendes, Cavare and Gorcuff, who are recovering from injuries, apart from Diagne, who has been suspended.

      Analysis of Saint-Étienne

      The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 10 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Reims, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against PSG, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Saint‑Étienne has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Saint-Étienne is going through an irregular period and hasn’t won any of the last 3 matches, mostly due to their lack of offensive efficiency. Coach Christophe Galtier usually presents defensive strategies and tries to attack using fast offensive transitions, but without much quality. Bahebeck is one of the most important players of hte away team, due to his technique and speed. The away coach will not be able to count on Perrim, Hamouma, Clerc, Polomant, Ekotto, Beric and Karamoko, who are all recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that first half will end in a draw. Analysing the form moment of both teams, the most likely scenario is that Rennes will have more initiative in this match and create the best goal opportunities. However, due to the offensive problems of both teams, we believe there won’t be many goals in the final score and that at half time there will be a goalless draw.


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