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Topic: Fiorentina vs Carpi - Serie A Rnd.23 03/02/16 19:45  (Read 129 times)

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    Fiorentina vs Carpi - Serie A Rnd.23 03/02/16 19:45
    « on: January 31 2016, 04:03 »
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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-12-16
    15/16
    Fiorentina 0-1 Carpi
    2015-09-20
    15/16
    Carpi 0-1 Fiorentina



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    Stats » Serie A Italy » Fiorentina vs Carpi

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      Analysis: Fiorentina vs Carpi (03 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 02 2016, 17:35 »

      Fiorentina and Carpi face at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in a match for the 23th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑09‑2015, Fiorentina got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 1 win for each team in the last 2 head‑to‑heads. Carpi registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Fiorentina

      After 13 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, havinf won 42 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Genoa by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have won (2‑0) at home, against Torino. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Fiorentina has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches, the most frequent final score was the 2‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Fiorentina comes to this match after a goalless away draw against Genoa. The home team usually creates many goal opportunities during their matches and are usually efficient. Although they attack more through the centre, when they have the opportunity to attack through the wings they can be very dangerous. Their main weakness is in aerial play. Nikola Kalinic is the main offensive reference of Fiorentina, with 10 goals scored in this edition of Serie A.

      Analysis of Carpi

      The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 4 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Internazionale, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Palermo, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Carpi has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 5 of the last 22 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Carpi comes to this match after a 1-1 home draw against Palermo. the major quality of the away team is their ability to create goal opportunities, although they tend to waste most of them. Aware of their weaknesses, they usually present defensive strategies and try to explore counterattack opportunities. Nigerian Mbakogu is the main offensive reference of the away team.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Fiorentina will win. Despite the balance in the head to head record, Fiorentina is currently much stronger than Carpi, since they are in the 3rd position of the league. Moreover, Carpi has had problems in away matches and only won once in the last 5 away matches.


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