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Topic: Everton vs Newcastle United - Premier League Rnd.24 03/02/16 19:45  (Read 113 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Everton vs Newcastle United

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      Analysis: Everton vs Newcastle United (03 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 01 2016, 16:53 »

      Everton and Newcastle United meet at Goodison Park, in a match for the 24th round of the Premier League. Everton got an away win by (0‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑12‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 15‑03‑2015, in a match for the Premier League, Everton won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by J. McCarthy (20' ), R. Lukaku (56' ) and R. Barkley (90' ) for Everton. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Everton

      After 6 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 29 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Swansea City by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (3‑3) an away match against Chelsea. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Carlisle United by (0‑3). For the league, Everton won 12 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 12 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 23 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Everton comes to this match after a series of 5 matches with no wins for the league and in the last round registers a home loss against Swansea. Therefore, coach Roberto Martínez, due to the need to win points, should present a somewhat offensive strategy, but with a few defensive cautions. The home team needs to work on aerial play, since they have technical quality back lack stature. Lukaku is the best scorer of the team, with 29 goals scored. Absent in this match will be Hibbert and Browning.

      Analysis of Newcastle

      The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against West Ham United, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Watford, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Newcastle United has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Newcastle comes to this match lacking motivation, after a loss against Watford, after 2 matches with no losses. Coach Steve McClaren should lay in the usual 3-5-2 formation, with Wijnaldum responsible for organizing the offensive processes of the team. The Dutch midfielder is the best scorer of the team, with 9 goals scored this season. The greatest weaknesses of the away team are in aerial play and set pieces. Absent due to injuries will be Godd, Obertan, Haidara and Tim Krul.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal. We believe it’ll be an open match with goal opportunities for both teams, due to the offensive quality they have presented in the last matches. Everton is very offensive and creates goal opportunities easily, while Newcastle is strong in counterattacks and usually scores many goals.


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