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Topic: Lille vs Caen - Ligue 1 Rnd.24 03/02/16 18:00  (Read 153 times)

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    Lille vs Caen - Ligue 1 Rnd.24 03/02/16 18:00
    « on: January 31 2016, 04:03 »
    The essentials for betting Full stats
    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-12-05
    15/16
    Caen 1-2 Lille
    2015-01-10
    14/15
    Lille 1-0 Caen
    2014-08-15
    14/15
    Caen 0-1 Lille
    2014-02-11
    13/14
    Lille 3-3

    ET 3-3

    PG 6-5

    Caen
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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Lille vs Caen

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    • Posts: 152111
      Analysis: Lille vs Caen (03 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 02 2016, 19:00 »

      Lille and Caen face at Stade Pierre‑Mauroy, in a match for the 24th round of the Ligue 1. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 05‑12‑2015, Lille got an away win by (1‑2). Curiously, the head‑to‑head history favours Lille, since in the last 5 matches they register 4 wins and 1 draw. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Lille presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Lille

      After 5 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 15th position, havinf won 26 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Olympique Marseille by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑3) at home, against Troyes. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Lille has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 8 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 23 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Lille comes to this match after a 1-1 away draw against Marseille. The away coach will not be able to count on Basa and Maignan, who are recovering from injuries. Lille usually controls its matches through ball possession and circulates the ball until they find spaces in the opponent’s defence. The home team prefers attacking through the left wing, making good use of the quality of winger Sidibé.

      Analysis of Caen

      The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Montpellier, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Nice, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Caen has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Caen comes to this match after a 2-0 home win over Nice, with goals by Rodelin and Delort. The away team usually presents defensive strategies and exploits counterattacks to surprise their opponents. But in some matches they control ball possession in ofensive midfield. Their greatest weakness is that they allow too much space in front of their area, which the opponents usually take advantage of to shoot from outside the box. Delaplace, Bazile, Da Silva and Voisin are injured and will not be playing this match.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Lille won’t win, despite the home advantage, since they face an opponent that has been more regular. Moreover, in the last 5 away matches Caen only lost once, against Angers.


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