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Topic: Arsenal vs Southampton - Premier League Rnd.24 02/02/16 19:45  (Read 125 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Arsenal vs Southampton

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      Analysis: Arsenal vs Southampton (02 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 01 2016, 12:44 »

      Arsenal and Southampton face at Emirates Stadium, in a match for the 24th round of the Premier League. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑12‑2015, Southampton got a home win by (4‑0). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 03‑12‑2014, Arsenal won by (1‑0). A. Sánchez (89' ) scored the only goal of the match. Arsenal registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Arsenal

      The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 44 points won, after 13 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Stoke City, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Chelsea, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got a home win against Burnley by (2‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Arsenal has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 7 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 23 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have conceded 4 of their 7 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Arsenal is coming from an home win against Burnley for the FA Cup, which allowed them to get back to winning ways. In this fixture, they are going to receive an difficult opponent that is used to create them problems and has beaten Arsenal in the last two matches. So, we expect manager Arséne Wenger to adopt an offensive strategy with some cauiton at the back. 
      Alexis Sanchez has recently returned to the competition and already scored in the last match. Anyway, Olivier Giroud continues to be their best scorer with 18 goals. 
      Wilshere, Cazorla and Welbeck are still recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Southampton

      The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 9 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against West Bromwich Albion, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Manchester United, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Southampton has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Southampton arrives to this match very motivated after three consecutive wins to the championship. Furthermore, the visitors have an edge over this week's opponent because they aren't at the FA Cup any more so they had plenty of time to rest. The manager Ronald Koeman should play in a strategy based on counter attack. At the front, Long is going to be the forward and has already socred eight times this season.
      Out of this match are Rodriguez, Davis and Gardos, all due to injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      We are expecting Arsenal to win this match. Despite the visitors good phase, we expect that the home team will dominate most of the time, not only by playing at home, but also because they have excellent players. So, playing at their own turf i expect Arsenal to earn three important points in their title battle.


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