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Topic: Sunderland vs Manchester City - Premier League Rnd.24 02/02/16 19:45  (Read 168 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Sunderland vs Manchester City

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      Analysis: Sunderland vs Manchester City (02 February 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: February 01 2016, 18:06 »

      Sunderland and Manchester City meet at Stadium of Light, in a match for the 24th round of the Premier League. Manchester City got a home win by (4‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑12‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 22‑09‑2015, in a match for the League Cup, Manchester City won by (1‑4). The goals of the match were scored by O. Toivonen (83' ), for Sunderland, and by S. Agüero (9' ), K. De Bruyne (25' ), V. Mannone (33' Own goal) and R. Sterling (36' ), for Manchester City. Although this is a match between 19th and 2nd of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 19th best in home matches and the 9th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Sunderland

      The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Tottenham Hotspur, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against AFC Bournemouth, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 34 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Sunderland has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 0‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 7 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Sunderland comes to this match after a 1-1 home draw against Bournemouth. The home team is usually strong in aerial play, making good use of the stature of some of its players. They are usually defensively strong and hold on to leads through defensive aggressiveness. But Sunderland is aware of its weaknesses and therefore usually presents defensive strategies. Larsson will not be able to play this match, since he is recovering from an injury.

      Analysis of Man City

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 44 points won, after 13 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Crystal Palace, by (4‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against West Ham United, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 16 points in away matches and 28 at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 12 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 11 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got an away win against Aston Villa by (0‑4). In the last 10 away league matches Manchester City has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Manchester City comes to this match motivated by a 0-4 away win over Aston Villa, in a match for the FA Cup: Iheanacho scored a hat trick and Sterling scored the last goal of the match. The away team will not be able to count on Kolarov, Roberts, Mangala, Bony, Kompany, De Bruyne and Nasri, who are all recovering from injuries. The away team usually controls its matches in the midfield and circulates the ball to find spaces in the opponent’s defence. However, they are also strong on counterattacks if given the chance, making good use of the quality and speed of their forwards. Nevertheless, they also have a few defensive problems, so they tend to suffer many goals.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Manchester City will win. Although Sunderland has the home advantage, they are one of the weakest teams of the Premier League, which menas they’ll have a hard time trying to resist the offensive power of the away team. Therefore, despite the absence of some important players, City should confirm its superiority and get the 3 points.


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