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Topic: Moreirense vs Benfica - Primeira Liga Rnd.20 31/01/16 19:15  (Read 307 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Moreirense vs Benfica

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      Analysis: Moreirense vs Benfica (31 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 29 2016, 15:10 »

      Moreirense and Benfica face at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Fr, in a match for the 20th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑08‑2015, Benfica got a home win by (3‑2). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Taça da Liga, on 26‑01‑2016, Benfica won by (1‑6). Iuri Medeiros (25' ) scored for Moreirense and Talisca (11' , 15' and 82' ), N. Gaitán (20' and 89' ) and R. Jiménez (29' ) for Benfica. Moreirense registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Moreirense

      After 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 14th position, havinf won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Estoril by (1‑3), after in the previous match they have won (1‑2) an away match against Arouca. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches Moreirense has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 27 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 6 of their last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Moreirense comes to this match after a heavy 1-6 loss against this very same opponent, in a match for the League Cup. Midfielder Filipe Gonçalves is suspended, due to the accumulation of yellow cards. Young Iuri Medeiros is the most creative player of the home tea and has scored 4 goals this season. Against a much stronger opponent, coach Miguel Leal should present a defensive strategy, to avoid allowing spaces to the opponent’s forwards and explore counterattacks.

      Analysis of Benfica

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 46 points won, after 15 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Estoril, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Arouca, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Benfica has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 27 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Benfica comes to this match very motivated, due to the excellent exhibition in the last match, against this very same opponent. Talisca may have won a position in the starting eleven for this match, since he scored 3 goals. Gaitán, who has recently recovered from an injury, also played brilliantly and scored 2 goals. Unavailable for this match will be Luisão and Salvio, who are still recovering from long term injuries. The Portuguese champion is in a great psychological moment, showing more confidence after every match, with great offensive exhibitions.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Benfica will win. Moreirense has the home advantage, but Benfica is going through an excellent form moment and the players are ever more coordinated. Moreover, coach Rui Vitoria played the last match with an alternative starting eleven, so most of the players in this match should be rested and in great shape.


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