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Topic: Moreirense vs Benfica - Primeira Liga Rnd.20 31/01/16 19:15  (Read 253 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Moreirense vs Benfica

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      Analysis: Moreirense vs Benfica (31 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 29 2016, 15:10 »

      Moreirense and Benfica face at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Fr, in a match for the 20th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑08‑2015, Benfica got a home win by (3‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑01‑2016, in a match for the Taça da Liga, Benfica won by (1‑6). The goals of the match were scored by Iuri Medeiros (25' ), for Moreirense, and by Talisca (11' , 15' and 82' ), N. Gaitán (20' and 89' ) and R. Jiménez (29' ), for Benfica. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Moreirense presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Moreirense

      The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Arouca, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Estoril, by (1‑3). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 9 home league matches Moreirense has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 27 possible. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Moreirense comes to this match after a heavy 1-6 loss against this very same opponent, in a match for the League Cup. Midfielder Filipe Gonçalves is suspended, due to the accumulation of yellow cards. Young Iuri Medeiros is the most creative player of the home tea and has scored 4 goals this season. Against a much stronger opponent, coach Miguel Leal should present a defensive strategy, to avoid allowing spaces to the opponent’s forwards and explore counterattacks.

      Analysis of Benfica

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 46 points won, after 15 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Estoril, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Arouca, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Benfica has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 27 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Benfica comes to this match very motivated, due to the excellent exhibition in the last match, against this very same opponent. Talisca may have won a position in the starting eleven for this match, since he scored 3 goals. Gaitán, who has recently recovered from an injury, also played brilliantly and scored 2 goals. Unavailable for this match will be Luisão and Salvio, who are still recovering from long term injuries. The Portuguese champion is in a great psychological moment, showing more confidence after every match, with great offensive exhibitions.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Benfica will win. Moreirense has the home advantage, but Benfica is going through an excellent form moment and the players are ever more coordinated. Moreover, coach Rui Vitoria played the last match with an alternative starting eleven, so most of the players in this match should be rested and in great shape.


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