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Topic: Boavista vs Sporting Braga - Primeira Liga Rnd.20 31/01/16 17:00  (Read 152 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-08-30
    15/16
    Braga 4-0 Boavista
    2015-01-25
    14/15
    Boavista 1-0 Braga
    2014-08-17
    14/15
    Braga 3-0 Boavista
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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Boavista vs Sporting Braga

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    • Posts: 152558
      Analysis: Boavista vs Sporting Braga (31 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 29 2016, 18:02 »

      Boavista and Sporting Braga meet at Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, in a match for the 20th round of the Primeira Liga. Sporting Braga got a home win by (4‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 30‑08‑2015. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Boavista presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Boavista

      After 4 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 16 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Tondela by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (4‑0) at home, against Vitória Setúbal. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 16 conceded. For the league, Boavista won 8 points out of 27 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 9 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Boavista is going through a positive moment in the season, since they register 2 consecutive league wins, which has allowed them to improve their position in the league table. Against an opponent of great offensive quality, coach Erwin Sánchez should play with closed lines, as not to allow any spaces to Braga’s forwards and make use of any counterattack opportunities. Luisinho is fundamental in these transitions, due to his speed. However, Boavista has presented a lack of offensive efficiency, so they should have a hard time trying to score against Braga. Sanches will not be able to count on Reuben Gabriel, who has been suspended, nor Fábio Ervões, Tengarrinha and Anderson Correia, who are injured.

      Analysis of Braga

      The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 10 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Nacional, by (2‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Rio Ave, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got an away tie against Rio Ave by (0‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Sporting Braga has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Coach Paulo Fonseca’s team comes to this match motivated by 5 consecutive matches with no losses. In the last match they have tied in a goalless match against Paços, so they have moved on to the next stage of the league cup. Their goal in this match should be to get another win, so they should present a very offensive strategy, to try to put pressure on Boavista and explore their defensive weaknesses. Braga is usually more dangerous on the left wing, due to the technical ability and speed of Rafa Silva. Nikola Stojiljkovic usually plays in front and has proven he is an efficient forward: he has scored 10 goals this season. Unavailable in this match should be Crislan, Niguez and Filipe Augusto, all recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Braga will win. Although Boavista has the home advantage, Braga should make use of Boavista’s weknesses to get the 3 points. Moreover, they have a far superior squad and should dominate the match, creating the best goal opportunities.


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