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Topic: Saint-Étienne vs PSG - Ligue 1 Rnd.23 31/01/16 20:00  (Read 129 times)

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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Saint-Étienne vs PSG

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      Analysis: Saint-Étienne vs PSG (31 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 29 2016, 16:05 »

      Saint‑Étienne and PSG face at Stade Geoffroy‑Guichard, in a match for the 23th round of the Ligue 1. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015, PSG got a home win by (4‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 7 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Ligue 1, on 25‑01‑2015, PSG won by (0‑1). Z. Ibrahimovic (60' ) scored the only goal of the match. Saint‑Étienne registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Saint-Étienne

      The home team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 10 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Olympique Lyonnais, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Reims, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Saint‑Étienne has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 9 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Saint-Étienne comes to this match after a 1-1 away draw against Reims. The greatest weakness of the home team is defensive transitions, since they usually attack with too many players and end up being surprised in counterattacks. Aware of this weakness, they usually control their matches in the midfield. The home coach will not be able to count on Tannane, Hamouma, Assou-Ekotto, Clerc and Beric, who are all recoverinf from injuries.

      Analysis of PSG

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 60 points won, after 19 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Toulouse, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Angers, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 4 conceded; against 14 wins and 1 draw at their stadium, with 41 goals scored and 7 conceded. In their last match, for the Coupe de la Ligue, they got a home win against Toulouse by (2‑0).

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 12 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 18 of the last 22 matches for the Ligue 1, they have reached half‑time in front in 12 of those 18 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 17 of them.

      Paris Saint-German comes to this match after a 2-0home win over Toulouse, in a match for the French Cup. Van der Wiel, Verratti, Sirigu, Pastore and Thiago Silva are in doubt, since they may not recover in time from physical problems. Cavani and Ibrahimovic should play in front, offering their teammates many offensive solutions. In the wings PSG has the quality and speed of Di María and Lucas Moura. The away team usually controls matches through ball possession and attacks through the centre.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that PSG will win. Although Saint-Étienne has an interesting home record, in this round they are up against an opponent with a lot of individual and collective quality. Therefore, PSG should get the 3 points in this round.


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