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Topic: Wolfsburg vs Köln - Bundesliga Rnd.19 31/01/16 14:30  (Read 138 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    Köln 1-1 Wolfsburg
    Köln 2-2 Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg 2-1 Köln
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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Wolfsburg vs Köln

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      Analysis: Wolfsburg vs Köln (31 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 29 2016, 17:00 »

      Wolfsburg and Köln face at VOLKSWAGEN ARENA, in a match for the 19th round of the Bundesliga. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 22‑08‑2015, these teams have tied (1‑1). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 3. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 20‑12‑2014, Wolfsburg won by (2‑1). B. Dost (16' ) and Naldo (78' ) scored for Wolfsburg and D. Maroh (11' ) for Köln. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 7th and 9th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 3rd best team in home matches and the 11th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Wolfsburg

      After 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 26 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Eintracht Frankfurt by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑1) an away match against Stuttgart. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches, with 6 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 20 points won at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded. For the league, Wolfsburg won 20 points out of 27 possible points, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 9 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Wolfsburg comes to this match unmotivated, after an away loss against Frankfurt, the third in a row for the Bundesliga. The home team presents great offensive quality and is usually strong in offensive transitions, making good use of the quality and speed of Caligiuri and Draxler. However, they also present many defensive weaknesses. Coach Dieter Hecking usually plays in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Schurrle in front. In this match Maximillian Arnold and Bas Dost will be unavailable in this match, due to an injury.

      Analysis of Köln

      The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Borussia Dortmund, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Stuttgart, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 15 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Köln has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Koln comes to this match motivated by a loss against Stuttgart, by 1-3. The greatest quality of the away team is their ability to hold on to leads, since they usually don’t allow their opponents to turn the score around. However, they also present defensive weaknesses in set pieces and defensive transitions. The away team usually plays in a 4-4-2 formation, with Modeste and Osako in front. Modeste is the best scorer of the team, with 11 goals scored this season. Recovering from an injury will be Heintz.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Wolfsburg will win. Despite this negative moment, the home team has more arguments than Koln. Therefore, they should take advantage of the quality of players like Dieter Hecking to get the 3 points.

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