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Topic: Aston Villa vs Manchester City - FA Cup 4th Round 30/01/16 15:00  (Read 102 times)

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    Aston Villa vs Man City

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    Stats » FA Cup England » Aston Villa vs Manchester City

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      Analysis: Aston Villa vs Manchester City (30 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 28 2016, 16:21 »

      Aston Villa and Manchester City face at Villa Park, in a match for this stage of the FA Cup (4th Round). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, played on 08‑11‑2015, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The home team comes to this stage of the FA Cup (4th Round) after having eliminated: Wycombe Wanderers. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away draw against West Bromwich Albion by (0‑0). Aston Villa has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Aston Villa comes to this match after a goalless away draw against West Bromwich. The greatest weakness of the home team is their inability to hold on to leads, since they often allow their opponents to recover. Therefore, they usually present defensive strategies and try to explore counterattacks. Sánchez, Agbonlahor, Hutton, Traoré and Amavi are injured and should not recover in time to play this match.

      Analysis of Man City

      The away team comes to this stage of the FA Cup (4th Round) after a away win by (0‑3) against Norwich City. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the League Cup, they got a home win against Everton by (3‑1). In the last 10 away matches Manchester City has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.

      Manchester City isn’t in full strength, since they can’t count on Kolarov, Roberts, Mangala, Bony, Kompany and Nasri. The away team usually control its matches through offensive ball possession, circulating the ball until they find spaces in the opponent’s defence. But whenever they can they use counterattacks to surprise their opponents, making good use of the quality and speed of their forwards. However, they usually attack with too many players and allow spaces in the back.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Manchester City will win. Aston Villa has the home advantage, but they are also one of the most modest teams of the Premier League and can’t count on a few important players. On the other hand, Manchester City hasn’t had great away results, but they do have a great quality squad, which means they should take advantage of that to create many goal opportunities and win this match.


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