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Topic: Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United - FA Cup 4th Round 30/01/16 15:00  (Read 148 times)

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    Bolton vs Leeds

    Bolton logo
    Bolton
    • 1 - 2
    • Played
    Leeds logo
    Leeds

    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-10-24
    15/16
    Bolton 1-1 Leeds
    2015-01-10
    14/15
    Bolton 1-1 Leeds
    2014-08-30
    14/15
    Leeds 1-0 Bolton
    2014-03-08
    13/14
    Leeds 1-5 Bolton
    2013-09-14
    13/14
    Bolton 0-1 Leeds
    2013-01-01
    12/13
    Leeds 1-0 Bolton
    2012-10-02
    12/13
    Bolton 2-2 Leeds
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    Stats » FA Cup England » Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United

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    • Posts: 151588
      Analysis: Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United (30 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 27 2016, 18:43 »

      Bolton Wanderers and Leeds United meet at University of Bolton Stadium, in a match for this stage of the Copa FA (4ta Ronda). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 3. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Championship, played on 24‑10‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Shola Ameobi (32' ) scored for Bolton Wanderers and M. Antenucci (71' ) for Leeds United. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Bolton

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa FA (4ta Ronda) after having played in the previous rounds against: Eastleigh. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Milton Keynes Dons by (3‑1). Bolton Wanderers has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Bolton has had disappointing results this season, but they come to this match after 2 consecutive wins, so they should be motivated. The home coach usually plays in a 4-2-3-1 formation, privileging direct passes towards forward Madine, who has scored 6 goals this season. But Neil Lennon will not be able to count on Emile Heskey and Zach Clough, both injured.

      Analysis of Leeds

      The away team comes to this stage of the Copa FA (4ta Ronda) after a home win by (2‑0) against Rotherham United. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Championship, they got an away tie against Brentford by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Leeds United has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 14 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 8 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Leeds United comes to this match after a 1-1 away draw against Brentford, so they now register 2 consecutive matches with no losses. Coach Steve Evans should play in the usual 4-3-3 formation, with Dallas, Carayol and Doukara in front. However, the best scorer of the team is Australian Chris Wood, with 8 goals scored this season. Mowatt and Berardu will not be playing this match, since they have been suspended.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Leeds United won’t lose. We believe the away team will dominate this match and create the best goal opportunities, not only due to the overall better player quality, but also due to the negative moment of the home team. Moreover, Bolton is more focused on the league, since they are in the penultimate position of the table and need to bounce back.


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