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Topic: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid - Primera División Rnd.22 30/01/16 15:00  (Read 114 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid

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      Analysis: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid (30 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 28 2016, 16:54 »

      Barcelona and Atlético Madrid face at Camp Nou, in a match for the 22th round of the Primera División. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 12‑09‑2015, Barcelona got an away win by (1‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 5 wins and 3 draws in the last 8 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑01‑2015, in a match for the Copa del Rey, Barcelona won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by L. Messi (85' ). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Barcelona presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Barcelona

      After 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in the 1st position, havinf won 48 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Málaga by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (6‑0) at home, against Athletic Club. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 14 wins and 1 draw at their stadium, with 58 goals scored and 10 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Athletic Club by (3‑1).

      They haven’t lost any of the last 11 home matches for this competition. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 2‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 10 of the last 11 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Rafinha, who is recovering from an injury, should be the only absence in Barcelona’s team. However, the home team has quality alternatives, with the ability to change the course of the matches at any given moment. As Atletico, the home team usually creates many goal opportunities. Moreover, they have a very efficient offense, with Messi, Suárez and Neymar, who have scored many goals this season, so they should score more than one goal in this match.

      Analysis of Atlético

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 48 points won, after 15 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (0‑3). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Sevilla, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 6 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got a home loss against Celta de Vigo by (2‑3). In the last 10 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (6 out of 11 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (5 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 16 of the last 21 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 10 of those 16 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 14 of them. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 9 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Tiago and Hernandéz, who are recovering from injuries, are the absences on the away team. Atletico is usually strong in aerial play, which is one of their best weapons. They prefer attacking through the left wing, making good use of the offensive support of winger Filipe Luis.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Barcelona will win. Atletico Madrid is a strong team that is currently sharing the lead with Barcelona, but in the last matches they haven’t been as strong as they used to be, so currently they don’t seem to have enough arguments to resist the offensive power of Barcelona, particularly since the matches is to be played at Camp Nou.


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