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Topic: Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV - Bundesliga Rnd.19 30/01/16 17:30  (Read 96 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV

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      Analysis: Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV (30 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 28 2016, 17:59 »

      Stuttgart and Hamburger SV meet at Mercedes‑Benz‑Arena, in a match for the 19th round of the Bundesliga. Hamburger SV got a home win by (3‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑08‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 16‑05‑2015, in a match for the Bundesliga, Stuttgart won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by C. Gentner (27' ) and M. Harnik (35' ), for Stuttgart, and by G. Kačar (12' ), for Hamburger SV. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Hamburger SV presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Stuttgart

      The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Wolfsburg, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Köln, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. For the league, Stuttgart won 10 points out of 27 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in the last 9 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

      After an irregular season start, Stuttgart has improved its exhibitions and hasn’t lost any of the last 4 matches. However, they still need to improve their ability to create goal opportunities and their offensive efficiency. The best scorer of the team is offensive midfielder Didavi, with 9 goals scored this season. Coach Jürgen Kramny should play in the usual 4-3-3 formation, with Werner in front. Recovering from injuries are Ginczek, Ferati and Harnik.

      Analysis of Hamburg

      The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Augsburg, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Bayern München, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (1‑1) against Wolfsburg. In the last 9 away league matches Hamburger SV has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Hamburg is going through a negative moment and hasn’t won any of their 4 last matches for the Bundesliga. Pierre-Michel Lasogga is the greatest offensive reference of the away team and the best scorer of Bruno Labbadia’s team, with 6 goals scored this season. But they need to improve on their defensive transitions, set pieces and aerial play. Absent due to injuries will be Ekdal, Spahic, Muller, Kacar, Gideon and Jung.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Stuttgart will win. We believe the home team will dominate the match and create the best goal opportunities, not only due to the quality of their squad, but also because of their superior offensive power. Moreover, Hamburg has shown a few defensive weaknesses that the home team will be able to take advantage of.


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