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Topic: Olympique Marseille vs Lille - Ligue 1 Rnd.23 29/01/16 19:30  (Read 110 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-10-25
    15/16
    Lille 1-2 Marseille
    2015-05-16
    14/15
    Lille 0-4 Marseille
    2014-12-21
    14/15
    Marseille 2-1 Lille
    2014-04-20
    13/14
    Marseille 0-0 Lille
    2013-12-03
    13/14
    Lille 1-0 Marseille
    2013-04-14
    12/13
    Lille 0-0 Marseille
    2012-11-25
    12/13
    Marseille 1-0 Lille
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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Olympique Marseille vs Lille

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      Analysis: Olympique Marseille vs Lille (29 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 27 2016, 10:41 »

      Olympique Marseille and Lille meet at Orange Vélodrome, in a match for the 23th round of the Ligue 1. Olympique Marseille got an away win by (1‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 25‑10‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑12‑2014, in a match for the Ligue 1, Olympique Marseille won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by N. Roux (32' Own goal) and M. Batshuayi (69' ), for Olympique Marseille, and by I. Gueye (61' ), for Lille. Although this is a match between 8th and 14th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 18th best in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Marseille

      The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Caen, by (1‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Olympique Lyonnais, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 18 points in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Olympique Marseille has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last home matches and they haven't won any of the last 8 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (5 out of 11 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

      Marseille comes for this match after a draw away home, by 1-1, against Lyon. The Spanish coach Míchel won’t count on Barrada, Mendy and Ocampos, because they are injured. The Belgian centre forward Batshuayi is the best scorer of Marseille with twelve goals scored, and his best weapon is the speed and the ability to pass. The home team chooses to practice an organized football, focusing on progress on the field through short passes.

      Analysis of Lille

      The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 5 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bordeaux, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Troyes, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 15 points at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 9 goals conceded at home, against 6 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Coupe de la Ligue, they got a home win against Bordeaux by (5‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Lille has a record of 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      The coach of the visiting team won’t count on Basa and Maignan, because they’re injured. Lille is a team that likes to have control of the game and of the ball possession, as such, they choose, whenever they can, by circulating several times the ball in the opponent’s midfield. When they invest in the offensive process, they usually do it through the left flank taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral Sidibé. Yassine Benzia is the main reference of the visiting team’s attack, and his main feature is the finishing capacities.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Marseille won’t win. Admittedly, the home team operates with the support of their fans and is better placed on the league table. However, is necessary to take into account the fact that Marseille to have conquered four draws in the last five home matches. Thus, it’s predictable that Lille will be able to add, at least, one point in this journey.


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