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Topic: Mainz 05 vs Borussia M'gladbach - Bundesliga Rnd.19 29/01/16 19:30  (Read 110 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Mainz 05 vs Borussia M'gladbach

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      Analysis: Mainz 05 vs Borussia M'gladbach (29 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 27 2016, 12:48 »

      Mainz 05 and Borussia M'gladbach face at OPEL ARENA, in a match for the 19th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑08‑2015, Mainz 05 got an away win by (1‑2). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, played on 07‑03‑2015, they tied (2‑2). J. Geis (73' ) and S. Okazaki (77' ) scored for Mainz 05 and Raffael (27' and 67' ) for Borussia M'gladbach. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 8th and 4th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 8th best team in home matches and the 12th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Mainz 05

      The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Hertha BSC, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Ingolstadt, by (1‑0). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 9 home league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Mainz 05 began in the hard way this second round of the German championship, losing away home against Ingolstadt. Despite the defeat, it’s foreseeable that the coach Martin Schmidt will play like the last match, ie in 4-2-3-1, favoring medium high block and the successive attacks in order to surprise the opponent. In this match the forward of the home team will be Jhon Cordoba. However, the scorer of the team is the attacking midfielder Yunus Malli with eight goals scored. The absences of the team continue to be Bungert, Beister, Curci and Soto, all injured.

      Analysis of M'gladbach

      The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 9 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Darmstadt 98, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Borussia Dortmund, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 19 at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 15 conceded at home, against 16 goals scored and 18 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Borussia M'gladbach has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Like their opponent, Borussia M'gladbach began with a defeat in the second round of the championship, losing at home against Dortmund, by 1-3. So, the goal will be to win back points and then it’s expectable that the coach Andre Schubert will play with a low block to get out the way of counterattack in order to take advantage of the space in the opponent's back. Rafael is a very important player in this type of transition. However, it’s important to note that the forward Lars Stindl is the player with more scored goals in the team: 12 in total. The absent important in the team continues to be Granit Xhaka, suspended. Herrmann, Jantschke, Dominguez, Hahn, Hazard and Schulz are still recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Mainz 05 won’t lose. Despite comes after a defeat, Mainz 05 play at home and to work in this condition has provided great matches. Moreover, Borussia doesn’t present a very regular play style and the successive defensive failures will be taken to the home team to score some goals. So, we believe this match will be balanced; however, the scoreboard will smile to the home team at the end.


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