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Topic: Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle - Eredivisie Rnd.20 27/01/16 19:45  (Read 129 times)

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    Stats » Eredivisie Netherlands » Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle

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      Analysis: Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle (27 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 26 2016, 16:56 »

      Vitesse and PEC Zwolle meet at GelreDome, in a match for the 20th round of the Eredivisie. Vitesse got an away win by (1‑5), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 18‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eredivisie, on 24‑05‑2015, they tied (1‑1). B. Traore (18' ) scored for Vitesse and T. Necid (56' ) for PEC Zwolle. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 6th and 8th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 8th best team in home matches and the 5th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Vitesse

      After 9 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 31 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Ajax by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (0‑2) an away match against Cambuur. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 13 points in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 10 conceded, against 18 points won at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded. For the league, Vitesse won 18 points out of 27 possible points, after 6 wins and 3 losses in the last 9 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Vitesse usually does well in the Dutch league. They have a well-balanced squad, but it wasn’t enough to avoid losing in the last away match against Ajax. However, Vitesse is confidant and focused in its goal to reach a European competition standing.

      The head to head record indicates a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches have ended with over 2,5 matches. However, the last 5 league matches of Vitesse have ended with Under 2,5 goals. Brown has recovered from an injury and should be ready to be a part of the starting eleven.

      Analysis of Zwolle

      The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 8 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Heerenveen, by (5‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Utrecht, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 17 at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded at home, against 14 goals scored and 11 conceded in away matches. In the last 9 away league matches PEC Zwolle has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Zwolle is one of the sensations of this edition of the league, since they’re in a surprising 8th position and even have the chance to overtake Vitesse in the table in case they win this match. They usually play in a 4-4-2 formation, in a league in which most teams pay in 4-3-3. However, Zwolle coach must deal with a long list of absent players: Begois, Karagounis, Abdelmalek, Saymak and Ryan.

      Betting suggestion:

      In our opinion the handicap lines are too high. Therefore, the +2 in favour of Zwolle seems to be of good value. Although Vitesse is a good team, the odds don’t seem right, since we expect a balanced match.


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