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Topic: Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League Rnd.23 24/01/16 16:00  (Read 174 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Arsenal vs Chelsea

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      Analysis: Arsenal vs Chelsea (24 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 22 2016, 11:22 »

      Arsenal and Chelsea meet at Emirates Stadium, in a match for the 23th round of the Premier League. Chelsea got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 19‑09‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑04‑2015, in a match for the Premier League they tied (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Arsenal

      The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 44 points won, after 13 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Liverpool, by (3‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Stoke City, by (0‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. For the league, Arsenal won 23 points out of 30 possible points, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches.

      They have won the last 4 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have conceded 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Arsenal comes to this match after a goalless away draw against Stoke. The home team has been struggling with a long list of injured players, which currently includes Rosicky, Welbeck, Wilshere, Coquelin and Cazorla. However, they have reliable alternatives and should present a strong midfield, with Ramsey, Ozil and Flamini. French Olivier Giroud, with 12 goals scored this season, should play in front.

      Analysis of Chelsea

      The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 6 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against West Bromwich Albion, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Everton, by (3‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 18 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (0‑3) against Crystal Palace. In the last 10 away league matches Chelsea has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Chelsea comes to this match after a 3-3 home draw against Everton. Diego Costa should be the offensive reference of the team, but he is yet to present the usual offensive efficiency, since he has only scored 7 goals this season. Hazard should have freedom to move about in offense, trying to find spaces to explore, using his dribble ability and acceleration. In the midfield Chelsea should present Matic, Fàbregas and Obi Mikel. The Spanish should play closer to the forwards. Falcao and Atsu are unavailable for this match, since they’re recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal. We expect a balanced match, with two teams looking to score from the first minute. Moreover, the last matches of these teams have ended with a few goals, which also confirms this goal tendency.


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