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Topic: Everton vs Swansea City - Premier League Rnd.23 24/01/16 13:30  (Read 86 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Everton vs Swansea City

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      Analysis: Everton vs Swansea City (24 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 21 2016, 15:23 »

      Everton and Swansea City face at Goodison Park, in a match for the 23th round of the Premier League. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 19‑09‑2015, these teams have tied (0‑0). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 01‑11‑2014, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Everton

      The home team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 6 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Manchester City, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Chelsea, by (3‑3). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Everton has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 11 of the last 11 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Everton is going through a positive moment in the season and hasn’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. The home team is usually efficient in offense and dangerous in counterattacks, particularly through the wings, making good use of the quality of Mirallas and Lennon. The best scorer of the team is Romelu Lukaku: the Belgium has scored 19 goals so far this season. However, the coach has a long list of unavailable injured players: Hibbert, Coleman, Naismith, Oviedo, McCarthy, Browning and Holgate.

      Analysis of Swansea

      The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Sunderland, by (2‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Watford, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Swansea City has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 10 matches). This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 5 of the last 22 matches for the Premier League, they have reached half‑time in front in all of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 22 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Swansea comes to this match after a win over Watford, so they have won again after no wins in the previous 4 matches. The away team usually maintains ball possession and attacks with quality. However, in some moments of the match they prefer long passes directly towards the French striker, Gomis. But the best scorer of the team is winger André Ayew, with 7 goals scored this season. Coach Alan Curtis will not be able to count on Éder, who is recovering from an injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Everton will win. They have won an away match in the last round and will fight to start winning again at home. Therefore, they should play offensively and get the 3 points against Swansea, taking advantage of the irregularity of the away team.


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