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Topic: Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians - Serie A Rnd.35 20/11/15 00:00  (Read 186 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2015-07-30
    2015
    Corinthians 3-0 Vasco
    2013-11-17
    2013
    Corinthians 0-0 Vasco
    2013-08-25
    2013
    Vasco 1-1 Corinthians
    2012-10-27
    2012
    Corinthians 1-0 Vasco
    2012-08-05
    2012
    Vasco 0-0 Corinthians
    2012-05-24
    2012
    Corinthians 1-0 Vasco
    2012-05-17
    2012
    Vasco 0-0 Corinthians
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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians

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    • Posts: 151477
      Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians (20 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 18 2015, 13:18 »

      Vasco da Gama and Corinthians meet at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. Corinthians got a home win by (3‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 30‑07‑2015. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 3 draws in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, was on 05‑08‑2012, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

       

      Analysis of Vasco

      The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Fluminense, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Palmeiras, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Vasco da Gama has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (7 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 11 of their last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 20 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 17 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      In order to escape to relegation, Vasco seeks to do a solid exhibition against the Corinthians, in order to add three points and remain in line with the good period that cross the championship.
      To make this possible, the team will count on a fully packed stadium and the return of the midfielder Nene.


      Analysis of Corinthians

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 76 points won, after 23 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Atlético Mineiro, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Coritiba, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Corinthians has a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      The strength of this team is undeniable but it might be preferable to get the championship tracks in another match, against a São Paulo opponente. However, this doesn't mean that the team surrender this clash, thus they will have to deal with a motivated Vasco. Therefore, we expect a Corinthians prevented with the defensive sector reforced. This may lead to similar  approaches and very closed markings.



      Betting suggestion:

      This is a decisive match for Vasco, and the tendency is for us to have a closed and very planned match, as Corinthians team also didn't want to expose them to opponent's counter-attacks.
      Thus, we expect a slow match where the bet on Under 2.5 Goals appears to have great value.




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