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Topic: Málaga vs Barcelona - Primera División Rnd.21 23/01/16 15:00  (Read 194 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Málaga vs Barcelona

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      Analysis: Málaga vs Barcelona (23 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 22 2016, 09:54 »

      Málaga and Barcelona meet at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 21th round of the Primera División. Barcelona got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑08‑2015. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5 and tied 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, played on 24‑09‑2014, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Málaga

      After 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 24 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Sevilla by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Las Palmas. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches Málaga has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 27 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 9 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Málaga comes to this match after a 2-1 away loss against Sevilla. The home team has already proved its ability to hold on to leads. However, they have also shown a lack of offensive efficiency, despite the healthy number of goal opportunities they usually create. Málaga should attack more through the left wing, due to the offensive support of winger Boka. Unavailable due to injuries will be Juan Carlos and Flávio Ferreira.

      Analysis of Barcelona

      The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 45 points won, after 14 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Granada, by (4‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Athletic Club, by (6‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 14 wins and 1 draw at their stadium, with 57 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away win against Athletic Club by (1‑2). In the last 8 away league matches Barcelona has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 24 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 3.

      Barcelona will not be able to count on Rafinha and Mathieu, both recovering from injuries. Despite these absences, they have good quality alternatives, so they should maintain their offensive quality and the usual ability to create goal opportunities.The offensive trio, Messi, Suárez and Neymar, is famous worldwide for its offensive quality, so in this match they should score against Málaga quite easily.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Barcelona will win, but they are up against a quality opponent that has proven its ability to create problems against strong teams, since in the last 2 home matches they have beaten Atletico Madrid and Celta de Vigo.


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