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Topic: Tijuana vs Santos Laguna - Liga MX Rnd.3 23/01/16 03:30  (Read 148 times)

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    Stats » Liga MX Mexico » Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

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      Analysis: Tijuana vs Santos Laguna (23 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 20 2016, 13:06 »

      Tijuana and Santos Laguna meet at Estadio Caliente, in a match for the 3rd round of the Liga MX. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 20‑09‑2014, for the Liga MX, Tijuana won by (4‑1). Alfredo Moreno (3' and 48' ), D. Benedetto (54' ) and D. Moreno (90' ) scored for Tijuana and J. Rodríguez (36' ) for Santos Laguna. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Tijuana

      The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 4 points won. In their debut, they tied in a home match against Pachuca, by (1‑1). In the second round, they won in an away match against Dorados, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Murciélagos by (0‑2). For the league, Tijuana won 8 points out of 27 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 9 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 9 of the last 9 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3.

      Tijuana faces Santos Laguna at home with the intention of maintaining the regularity they have shown so far, since they haven’t lost yet and are out of the relegation zone. We expect a balanced match between these two teams, but Tijuana has beaten Santos in the last away match, so they seem to be in a better form moment. Jiménez, who played in the 1st leg match, is in doubt, since he didn’t play against Dorados, but he may recover in time, so coach Miguel Herrera should use the same starting 11.

      Analysis of Santos Laguna

      The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 3 points won. In their debut they lost in an away match against León, by (2‑0). In the second round, they won in a home match against Chiapas, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Santos Laguna has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Santos Laguna has beaten Jaguares in the last round, so they expect to get a positive result in this match to move up in the table. The away team has only won a single match in the last 7 head to heads, but they tied 4 times, which would be an interesting result in this away match. Coach Luís Zubeldía will be happy to be able to count on the return of Abella, since his suspension period has ended. Abella should take the place of Ibáñez, in what should be the only change in the starting 11 that faced Jaguares.

      Betting suggestion:

      The home team is technically strong and is also very offensive, apart from having a solid defence. Tijuana is a very well balanced team that usually doesn’t take unnecessary chances, so they should control this match to get the win. Therefore, the Tijuana win and under 2,5 goals seems to be of good value.


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