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Topic: Vitória Setúbal vs Académica - Primeira Liga Rnd.19 22/01/16 20:30  (Read 129 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Vitória Setúbal vs Académica

    Offline Academia

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      Analysis: Vitória Setúbal vs Académica (22 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 20 2016, 14:11 »

      Vitória Setúbal and Académica face at Estádio do Bonfim, in a match for the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 24‑08‑2015, Vitória Setúbal got an away win by (0‑4). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 08‑02‑2015, in a match for the Primeira Liga, they tied (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Vitória Setúbal

      The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Paços de Ferreira, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Boavista, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. For the league, Vitória Setúbal won 9 points out of 27 possible points, after 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses in the last 9 home matches.

      They haven’t won any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. In their home league matches, the most frequent final score was the 2‑2 (4 out of 9 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Vitória de Setúbal is passing through a bad moment in the season after four consecutive matches without winning: they recently lost with Boavista by 4-0, one of the worst teams in the league. 
      In this match, they pretend to take advantage of playing home to get back to winning ways, so they should adopt an offensive approach to the game. Their bad results started after the exit of their best scorer Suk, that moved to FC Porto. Into this match, the manager Quim Machado won't count with Costinha due to suspension.

      Analysis of Académica

      The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Tondela, by (2‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Paços de Ferreira, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (3‑0) against Sporting Braga. In the last 8 away league matches Académica has a record of 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 24 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (7 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Académica is clearly improving and in their last match they tied at home against Paços de Ferreira, a team much better placed in the league. Their main purpose into this match is earn some more points but their performance away from home is really awful: six losses in eight matches. The best scorer of the team is Rafael Lopes with five goals. The manager Filipe Gouveia won't be able to use Leandro Silva who is suspended, and Obiora, Hugo Seco, Iago Santos, Tripy Makonda, Emídio Rafael and Mawell all of them recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      We are pointing to a Vitória de Setúbal victory. The home team should take control of the game and create the best opportunities to score thanks to his collective strenght. In the other hand, Académica is suffering to grab good results form their trips so we expect them to continue that way.


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