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Topic: Hamburger SV vs Bayern München - Bundesliga Rnd.18 22/01/16 19:30  (Read 123 times)

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    Stats » Bundesliga Germany » Hamburger SV vs Bayern München

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      Analysis: Hamburger SV vs Bayern München (22 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 20 2016, 14:01 »

      Hamburger SV and Bayern München face at Volksparkstadion, in a match for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 14‑08‑2015, Bayern München got a home win by (5‑0). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 29‑10‑2014, in a match for the DFB Pokal, Bayern München won by (1‑3). The goals of the match were scored by P. Lasogga (85' ), for Hamburger SV, and by R. Lewandowski (7' ), D. Alaba (44' ) and F. Ribéry (55' ), for Bayern München. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Hamburg

      After 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 22 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Augsburg by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Wolfsburg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. They come to this match after a home loss against Young Boys by (1‑2). For the league, Hamburger SV won 8 points out of 24 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 8 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 4 of the last 8 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Hamburg is coming to this match after an home loss by 1-2 against Young Boys in a friendly match. The stronger sector of the team is the midfield where there midfielders are very capable tacklers. Because they are a team with some weaknesses, they opt to play deffensively trying to explore quick transitions whenever they can, especially throw the center. 
      Lasogga is their most dangerous player and has already scored six times this season.

      Analysis of Bayern München

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 46 points won, after 15 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Ingolstadt, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Hannover 96, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 15 wins at their stadium, with 51 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away loss against Karlsruher SC by (2‑1). In the last 8 away league matches Bayern München has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Bayern Munchen has also lost in their last friendly match at Karlsruher by 2-1. The club from Munich likes to control the tempo at the opposite midfield and they really enjoy postion variations and short passes to create danger. Anyway, the fact of playing in advanced zones of the pitch makes Bayern more vulnerable to contain opposite counter attacks, especially when their adversaire is capable of throw balls into the back of their defensive.

      Betting suggestion:

      We are pointing to a match with several goals. After this short pause in the championship, we suspect that the players will enter with lost of will to show their value, and that means the intensity is going to raise. The individual stats of each team also show us that we might have many goal opportunities. The last three matches between this two teams have covered Over 3.5 Goals.


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      Stats » Bundesliga » Hamburg vs Bayern München