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Topic: Man City vs Swansea - Premier League Rnd.24 05/02/17 13:30  (Read 189 times)

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    • sanipt90 (2052º) +35% comp+market profit on the 30 day market
      Back @ 1.14 Over 1.5 Goals

      Market: Over/Under 1.5 Goals

      +14.00%
      100%
      Tip justification:
      In the last 10 matches 90% ended with over 1.5 goals of Manchester City. Swansea City last 10 matches 100% ended with over 1.5 goals, so probably this match can end with over 1.5 goals
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    Stats » Premier League England » Man City vs Swansea

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    • Posts: 153286
      Analysis: Manchester City vs Swansea City (05 February 2017)
      « Reply #1 on: February 02 2017, 17:05 »

      Manchester City and Swansea City meet at Etihad Stadium, in a match for the 24th round of the Premier League. Manchester City got an away win by (1‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 24‑09‑2016. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 12‑12‑2015, Manchester City won by (2‑1). W. Bony (26' ) and K. Iheanacho (90' ) scored for Manchester City and B. Gomis (90' ) for Swansea City. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 17th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 7th best team in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Man City

      The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 14 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Tottenham Hotspur, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against West Ham United, by (0‑4). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 24 points in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 22 points won at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Manchester City has a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Manchester City is on the way after a 0-4 win at the West Ham squad: De Bruyne, David Silva, Gabriel Jesus and Touré have all staked their winning streak. The Manchester club usually plays in a 4-3-3 where the three men responsible for launching panic on defensive opponents are Sterling, Gabriel Jesus and Sané. Thus, acting within doors, it is guessed that Manchester City adopts a more offensive stance taking into account the lack of quality of the "enemy". For this match the home coach will not be able to count on Gundogan for being injured.

      Analysis of Swansea

      The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Liverpool, by (2‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Southampton, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 24 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Swansea City has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Swansea enters motivated into this round after a 2-1 home win against Southampton: Mawson and Sigurdsson signed the goals that allowed Swansea to score three. The visiting emblem usually acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, privileging the fast transitions, mainly through the wings. One of the weaknesses of the foreign set is the finalization of the dangerous situations they can create. The Swansea coach will not be able to count on McBurnie, Britton and Montero for being injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this challenge will be Manchester City scoring at least three goals. The difference in quality between the two teams abysmal, being on one side the hosts, with players of great quality. It should be noted that Swansea is a group that tends to suffer several goals in foreign games. Thus, it is hoped that Manchester City will be able to put into practice their beautiful offensive football.


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      Stats » Premier League » Man City vs Swansea