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Topic: Celta de Vigo vs Alavés - Copa del Rey Semi-finals 02/02/17 20:00  (Read 267 times)

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    Celta Vigo 1-0 Alavés
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    Stats » Copa del Rey Spain » Celta de Vigo vs Alavés

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      Analysis: Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés (02 February 2017)
      « Reply #1 on: January 31 2017, 10:48 »

      Celta de Vigo and Deportivo Alavés face , in a match for this stage of the Copa del Rey (Semi‑finals). The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 15‑01‑2017, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Celta de Vigo. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Celta Vigo

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (Semi‑finals) after having eliminated: Real Madrid, Valencia and UCAM Murcia. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. They come to this match after a away win against Leganés by (0‑2). Celta de Vigo has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 6 matches for this competition. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 6 matches for this competition. They have been able to score first and have done so in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 8 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 6 of their 9 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Celta de Vigo comes motivated for this event after the victory at Leganés ground, by 0-2, in a match counting for the Spanish championship: Álvaro Lemos and Guidetti scored the triumph goals. It’s important to note that in the last match of the King's Cup, the home team eliminated the mighty Real Madrid. In this home match, the coach Eduardo Berizzo must keep the team in 4-2-3-1 favoring ball possession, but in some moments of the match they must play straight for Iago Aspas: the experienced scorer has 11 goals scored this season. Orellana, Wass, Beauvue, Giuseppe Rossi and Bank are absent from this match as they continue recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Alavés

      The away team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (Semi‑finals) after havinf played in the previous rounds against: Alcorcón, Deportivo La Coruña and Gimnàstic Tarragona. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got a home tie against Atlético Madrid by (0‑0). In the last 10 away matches Deportivo Alavés has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition.

      Alavés comes for this match after a goalless draw against Atletico Madrid, and this equality may have given enough motivation to face this difficult match. The visiting team plays in a tactical system very similar to the opponent, that is, the 4-2-3-1, however, they give privilege to the direct football for the attack. Despite the difficulties in some processes of the match, Alavés uses their collective to conquer several points in their matches. Devyverson is Alaves' top scorer with 5 goals scored so far. For this match the coach Mauricio Pellegrino won’t count on Galilea, Espinoza and Romero, players who are recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      This is a match between two teams that are going through good times of the season, however, Celta de Vigo is clearly superior to the opponent. Thus, it’s foreseeable that Celta de Vigo will dominate and take advantage of the best opportunities to score goals, taking advantage of most of Alavés’ weaknesses. On the other hand, Alavés should come into play more defensively, with the lines drawn back, exploiting only the counterattack. So, and taking into account these factors, we believe that a bet on the home team’s victory in this first hand is full of value.

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