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Topic: Málaga vs Real Sociedad - Primera División Rnd.18 16/01/17 19:45  (Read 81 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Málaga vs Real Sociedad

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      Analysis: Málaga vs Real Sociedad (16 January 2017)
      « Reply #1 on: January 16 2017, 11:36 »

      Málaga and Real Sociedad face at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 18th round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 03‑10‑2015, in a match for the Primera División, Málaga won by (3‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Charles (4' , 7' and 89' ), for Málaga, and by Agirretxe (14' ), for Real Sociedad. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Málaga presents significant differences between home and away results.

      Analysis of Málaga

      The home team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sevilla, by (4‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Celta de Vigo, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 19 conceded. For the league, Málaga won 17 points out of 24 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 home matches.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 8 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 17 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times, but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 10 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Malaga reaches this match after a 3-1 loss against Celta de Vigo, away from home, their 6th consecutive match without a win. In this home match, coach Marcelo Romero should use a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Sandro Ramirez as their most offensive reference and their best scorer, with 7 goals. Still, they have a lot of competence playing at home, as they have only 1 loss in their last 8 home matches. They will be without Miguel Torres, Juan Carlos, Kuzmanovic, Weligton and Keko, who are injuerd. Kone and Youssef En-Nesyri are with their national teams.

      Analysis of Real Sociedad

      The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 9 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Granada, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Sevilla, by (0‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away tie against Villarreal by (1‑1). In the last 8 away league matches Real Sociedad has a record of 4 wins and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 8 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Real Sociedad reaches this match after a 1-1 draw against Villarreal, their 2nd consecutive match without a win, as Mikel Oyarzabal scored their only goal. In this away match, coach Eusebio should maintain a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritising ball possession and organized attacks, but at some point, they should use counter attacks. Willian Jose is their best scorer with 9 goals. They had a win against Granada in their previous away match. In this match, they will be without Carlos Martinez, Gonzalez, Bergara and Agirretxe, who are injured, and will have Raul Navas, Zaldua and Carlos Vela questionable.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most probable scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. We believe this will be an open match, with scoring chances for both teams, as they have shown offensive power in their previous match. Playing at home, Malaga has created chances with ease, and Real Sociedad has offensive quality, so it is probable they will take advantage of the spaces their opponent will leave. So a bet backing goals for both teams, has a lot of value.


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      Stats » Primera División » Málaga vs Real Sociedad