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Topic: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Copa del Rey 8th Finals 14/01/16 19:30  (Read 118 times)

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    Stats » Copa del Rey Spain » Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

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      Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano (14 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 12 2016, 18:17 »

      Atlético Madrid and Rayo Vallecano face at Vicente Calderón, Madrid, in a 2nd leg match for the Rey Cup. The 1st leg match ended in a 1-1draw.
      The head to head history indicates balance, since in the last 6 matches there were 4 draws and a win for each team.

      Analysis of Atlético

      Atlético Madrid comes to this match after a 0-2 win over Celta de Vigo, with goals by Griezmann and Ferreira Carrasco. Atlético is currently in the 1st position of La Liga, with 44 points. To reach this stage of the cup they have eliminated Reus Deportiu with a 3-1 aggregate result.
      In the last 10 matches Atlético de Madrid registers averages of 1,5 goals scored and 0,5 conceded per match, so they have shown both defensive and offensive quality. 70% of these matches have ended with Under 2 Goals.
      Moreover, the home team has opened up the score in 6 of these matches and held on to the lead in all. The only unavailable player is Tiago, who is recovering from a serious injury.

      Analysis of Vallecano

      The away team comes to this match after a 2-1 away loss against Levante: Pablo Hernández scored the only goal of the team. Rayo is currently in the 19th position of La Liga, with 15 points won. In the Rey Cup, they have eliminated Getafe in the previous round.
      In the last 10 matches Rayo Vallecano registers averages of 1,1 goals scored and 2,7 conceded per match, so their defensive quality is evident. 70% of these matches have ended with Over 2 Goals.
      The worst period of the away team is between minutes 76’ and 90’, in which they have scored the most goals, a total of 7. Coach Paco Jémez will not be able to count on David Cobeno, Antonio Amaya, Toño, Pratick Ebert and Razvan Rat, who are all recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Atlético Madrid will score more than one goal, due to the great quality difference between the two teams. Atlético should attack from the first minute, so Rayo is unlikely to present enough defensive arguments to resist.

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      Stats » Copa del Rey » Atlético vs Vallecano