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Topic: Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Copa del Rey 8th Finals 04/01/17 20:15  (Read 121 times)

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    Stats » Copa del Rey Spain » Real Madrid vs Sevilla

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      Analysis: Real Madrid vs Sevilla (04 January 2017)
      « Reply #1 on: January 01 2017, 22:41 »

      Real Madrid and Sevilla face at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 5. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 20‑03‑2016, Real Madrid won by (4‑0). K. Benzema (6' ), Cristiano Ronaldo (64' ), G. Bale (66' ) and Jesé (86' ) scored the goals of the match for Real Madrid. Real Madrid registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals) after having eliminated Cultural Leonesa with a home win by (6‑1) and a away win by (1‑7) in the previous round. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins and 4 draws in away matches; against 10 wins and 5 draws at their stadium. They come to this match after a home win against Kashima Antlers by (4‑2), after extended time. Real Madrid has won 7 and tied 3 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 55 of the last 63 have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 46 out of 63 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have been able to score first and have done so in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 10 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them.

      The merengue team comes for this match after a 4-2 win against Kashima, winning the Teams World Cup in Japan: the goals were scored by Benzema and Cristiano Ronaldo (3). In this match for the King's Cup the French coach Zinédine Zidane must align the team in 4-3-3 benefiting the ball possession and the supported attacks. Cristiano Ronaldo is Real Madrid's top scorer with 10 goals scored. Looking at the last 10 matches, it’s possible to see that the home team has an enormous offensive ability, but there are gaps in the defensive sector: they scored on average 2.6 goals and conceded an average of 1 goal per match. For this match the coach won’t count on Gareth Bale, Lucas Vazquez, Kovacic and Odegaard, players who are recovering from injury.

      Analysis of Sevilla

      The away team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals) after a home win by (9‑1) and a away win by (1‑5) against Formentera. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 losses at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Sevilla has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

      Sevilla comes for this match after a wide win at home against Formentera, by 9-1, in a match counting for the second round of the King's Cup: goals were scored by Ben Yedder (3), Vietto (3 ), Ganso, Pablo Sarabia (2). In this away home match, the coach Jorge Sampaoli should keep the team in 3-5-2, giving privilege to the medium-low block and long balls for the attack, especially for Luciano Vietto: Argentina is Sevilla's top scorer with 6 goals. Looking at the last 10 matches, it’s possible to see that the visiting team scored an average of 3.1 goals and conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match, that is, like their opponents, they have offensive skills and gaps in the defensive line. For this match the visiting team’s coach won’t count on Tremoulinas, Krohn-Dehli, Escudero and Market, players who are recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of two goals in the first half. In this match at the Santiago Bernabeu, we believe that Real Madrid will come into play at full throttle in order to resolve this first leg as quickly as possible, thus avoiding any surprise from their opponent. In addition to not enjoying quality weapons, Sevilla should try to score some goal, putting in danger their defensive line. So, a bet in favor of goals at the first half seems to have great value.


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