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Topic: Valencia vs Celta de Vigo - Copa del Rey 8th Finals 03/01/17 18:00  (Read 108 times)

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    Stats » Copa del Rey Spain » Valencia vs Celta de Vigo

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      Analysis: Valencia vs Celta de Vigo (03 January 2017)
      « Reply #1 on: December 31 2016, 19:15 »

      Valencia and Celta de Vigo face at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 20‑03‑2016, in a match for the Primera División, Celta de Vigo won by (0‑2). The goals of the match were scored by J. Guidetti (80' ) and Hugo Mallo (84' ) for Celta de Vigo. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Celta de Vigo presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Valencia

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals) after a home win by (2‑1) and a away win by (1‑3) against Leganés. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Valencia has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 46 of the last 54 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Valencia will have their 3rd match in this competition, their 2nd at home, as they secured their spot in this phase after a win at home against Leganes. They had a 2-1 win, as they had already won the first match, 3-1. They hope to advance in this competition to make up for the terrible performance they are having in the league, where they have 6 consecutive matches without a win. After 15 rounds (they have one less match), they have 9 losses, 3 draws and 3 wins, currently in 17th place. In this match, they should maintain a 4-3-3 or 3-5-2 formation.

      Analysis of Celta Vigo

      The away team comes to this stage of the Copa del Rey (8th Finals) after a home win by (1‑0) and a away win by (0‑1) against UCAM Murcia. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Celta de Vigo has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 7 of the last 9 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 4 of them.

      Celta de Vigo heads into their 3rd match in this competition, the 2nd one away from home. To reach this round, they eliminated UCAM Murcia, with 2 1-0 wins. In the league, they aren't having a good campaign, as they have 3 losses in their last 5 matches. After 16 rounds, they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, currently in 13th place. In this match, they should maintain a 4-3-3 or 4-5-1 formation.

      Betting suggestion:

      This will be a match between two teams that aren't having good campaigns so far. But Valencia is in a much worse situation, very close to the relegation zone, with the same number of points as the first team in the zone. Celta de Vigo is 9 points ahead of their opponent, but they have an even worse defense than Valencia. So we expect a balanced match, being a good option to back a draw, but with greater chances for the home team.


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