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Topic: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League Rnd.21 12/01/16 19:45  (Read 204 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

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      Analysis: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace (12 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 09 2016, 19:58 »

      Aston Villa and Crystal Palace meet at Villa Park, in a match for the 21th round of the Premier League. Crystal Palace got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑08‑2015. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Crystal Palace presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The home team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 1 win, 5 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Norwich City, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Sunderland, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Copa FA, they got an away tie against Wycombe Wanderers by (1‑1). In the last 9 home league matches Aston Villa has a record of 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 27 possible.

      They haven’t won any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 4 of the last 20 matches for the Premier League, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 2 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Aston Villa is going through a very difficult moment of the season and, to make it worse, the team conceded a draw for the FA Cup against Wycombe, of the Third English Division. In this match for the championship, the coach Rémi Garde will play in 4-2-3-1 favoring the defensive organization and counterattacks. Scott Sinclair is a very faster player and a player capable of unbalance at any time. In addition, the English is the best scorer with six goals scored. For this match, the French coach won’t count on Carlos Sánchez, Jordan Amavi, Alan Hutton and Adama Traoré, they are all injured. 

      Analysis of Crystal Palace

      The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 31 points won, after 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Swansea City, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Chelsea, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got an away win against Southampton by (1‑2). Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (0‑0) against AFC Bournemouth. In the last 9 away league matches Crystal Palace has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 9 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 12 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Crystal Palace comes for this match after a 2-1 win against Southampton, in a match counting for the FA Cup. Ward and Zaha scored the goals of the team. In this match, the big goal of the team will be to return to the victories to the league, and for this, it’s foreseeable that the coach Alan Pardew will align a very offensive team. Furthermore, visitors want to enjoy the bad moment of the team Aston Villa. To note that Yohan Cabaye, Bolasie, Wickham and Appiah are absent due to physical problems. 

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Crystal Palace will win or, at least, will reach a draw. It’s foreseeable that the visitors will control big part of the match taking advantage of the best opportunities to score. Not to be in a better moment, but for holding better weapons than the opponent. Thus, it’s expectable that the bad moment of the home team in this season will continue for a few more matches. 


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