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Topic: Grêmio vs Fluminense - Serie A Rnd.35 19/11/15 21:30  (Read 146 times)

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    Grêmio vs Fluminense - Serie A Rnd.35 19/11/15 21:30
    « on: November 16 2015, 15:42 »
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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Grêmio vs Fluminense

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      Analysis: Grêmio vs Fluminense (19 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 18 2015, 11:19 »

      Grêmio and Fluminense face at Arena do Grêmio, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 01‑08‑2015, Fluminense got a home win by (1‑0). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Copa do Brasil, on 01‑10‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Bobô (75' ) scored for Grêmio and Fred (40' ) for Fluminense. Fluminense registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

       

      Analysis of Grêmio

      The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 59 points won, after 17 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Flamengo, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Sport Recife, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Grêmio won 20 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Bet on their qualification for the Libertadores, the tricolor gaucho know the extreme importance of this clash with Fluminense and should leave everything on the pitch in this clash. Fot that, they will count on some important returns to Eleven. Ramiro is back to the starting eleven, Edinho is also able and the foward Bobô also make part of news, although he should be a substitute, thus Luan might be the holder in this match. Who is still missing is Erazo, which is in the national squad of his country. And Lincoln left training earlier with pain in the right foot.

      Analysis of Fluminense

      The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 43 points won, after 13 wins, 4 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vasco da Gama, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Chapecoense, by (2‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Fluminense has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Unlike Gremio, the rio team is already with the sentenced season as they no longer fight for anything in the championship and their motivation for this clash is dubious. Since the team is not at risk of being relegated to Serie B and no longer can get to G4. So, the team will try to defeat Gremio in Porto Alegre simply for pleasure.
       

      Betting suggestion:

      With a technically superior team, asdefensively as offensively, the Gremio team will also have the home advantage on their side. Thus, if we add the fact of being a better team to the fact of playing at home, it's evident that Gremio are favorite to victory. They might confirm that on the pitch. For that reason, the focus on Gremio's victory seems to have lots of value.




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