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Topic: Atlético PR vs Palmeiras - Serie A Rnd.35 18/11/15 23:00  (Read 131 times)

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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Atlético PR vs Palmeiras

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      Analysis: Atlético PR vs Palmeiras (18 November 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: November 17 2015, 04:30 »

      Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras face at Arena da Baixada, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 02‑08‑2015, Atlético PR got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 3 draws and 2 wins for each team in the last 7 head‑to‑heads. Palmeiras registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Paranaense

      The home team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 13 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Chapecoense, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Avaí, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Athletico Paranaense won 13 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      The central defender Kadu and the midfielder Marcos Guilherme are back to the team after failing to help in the 2-1 win against Avaí, and they should enter directly into the starting eleven against Palmeiras. In the other hand, the central defender Vilches is unavailable after picking up a suspension thanks to the yellow card he received against Avaí. 
      Despite this absence, the players that return should be decided to help the team to earn a victory. So, we expect a strong home formation. 






      Analysis of Palmeiras

      The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 48 points won, after 14 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Santos, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Vasco da Gama, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Palmeiras has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Palmeiras will count with Cristaldo's return. The influent attacker has seen his suspension relieved. He was sent off aginst Santos for poking an opponent. He was judged by aggression and was intimated to be suspended for 4 to 12 matches but the club managed to reduce that penalty. So, he was only judged by violent behavior and was suspended by just two matches. In the other hand, Lucas Barrios is unavailable because is representing is national team, Paraguay, at the south american qualifying zone.
      This team isn't very strong away from home and is on a bad mood but they continue to have a strong team that can easily offer lots of troubles to their opponents.




      Betting suggestion:

      We expect an Atlético-PR victory, but Palmeiras could offer some good resistence. So, we searched for a safer approach and our conclusion is to bet at the home team with Draw no Bet prevention.





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