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Topic: Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid - Primera División Rnd.19 10/01/16 19:30  (Read 93 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid

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      Analysis: Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid (10 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 08 2016, 10:05 »

      Celta de Vigo and Atlético Madrid meet at Abanca‑Balaídos, in a match for the 19th round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 15‑02‑2015, in a match for the Primera División, Celta de Vigo won by (2‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Nolito (59' ) and F. Orellana (71' ) for Celta de Vigo. Although this is a match between 5th and 1st of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 12th best in home matches and the 1st best in away matches.

      Analysis of Celta Vigo

      After 9 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 31 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Málaga by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Athletic Club. Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 17 points in away matches and only 14 at their stadium. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away win against Cádiz by (0‑3). In the last 9 home league matches Celta de Vigo has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 27 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 18 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      In the last five matches for the First Division, the team conquered two wins, one drawn and two defeats. It shows a team with some difficulty to maintain a good sequence.
       
      Celta isn’t one of the best home teams of the First Division, with a 51.85% wins while acting as home team, which affect the team’s searching for the top places.
       
      Even with a poor performance at home, the team has the third best attack with twenty-eight goals scored, only behind Barcelona and Real Madrid with 40 and 47 goals scored, respectively. This leads us to look more at the goals market. 

      Analysis of Atlético

      The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 41 points won, after 13 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Rayo Vallecano, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Levante, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 12 goals scored and 5 conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 3 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away tie against Rayo Vallecano by (1‑1). In the last 9 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 19 points out of 27 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (5 out of 9 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (4 out of 9 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 14 of the last 18 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 14 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 12 of them. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      The team is the best visiting team so far in the competition, with a performance of 70.37%, winning nineteen points in nine matches, a major factor for them leadership.
       
      Atletico has a good attack, with twenty-five goals scored in eighteen matches. In addition, we see that in the last five away matches, the team scored goals in four of them, showing that their attack also works in matches away home.

      Betting suggestion:

      As both teams have efficient attacks, once that Atletico usually scores away home and Celta scores even in home matches, we will indicate the market goals, a safer area. The bet will be on Over 1.5 odd 1.4. 


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      Stats » Primera División » Celta Vigo vs Atlético