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Topic: Las Palmas vs Málaga - Primera División Rnd.19 10/01/16 17:15  (Read 78 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Las Palmas vs Málaga

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      Analysis: Las Palmas vs Málaga (10 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 07 2016, 20:44 »

      Las Palmas and Málaga face at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in a match for the 19th round of the Primera División. There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 22‑08‑2009, the match ended with the final score: Las Palmas (2‑0) Málaga. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Las Palmas

      After 4 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Athletic Club by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have won (4‑1) at home, against Granada. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 12 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Eibar by (2‑3). For the league, Las Palmas won 14 points out of 27 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 9 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 18 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 4 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Las Palmas is one of the teams that presents more difficulties in the BBVA League, once that they haven’t technical and tactical qualities to face most of the opponents. The home team won’t count on William Joseph, Javi Castellano, Hernán, Ángel López and Pedro Bigas, because they are injured. Sergio Araujo is the player responsible for launching the panic in the opponent defense; however, the centre forward of the home team presents many gaps at the time of finishing.

      Analysis of Málaga

      The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Levante, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Celta de Vigo, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Málaga has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      The visiting team has already shown that they can hold a positive result, when they’re in advantage on the scoreboard. Even so, they’re a team that has many gaps in finishing, but they can create a good number of opportunities. It’s foreseeable that Málaga will use, whenever possible, the left flank to create danger, taking advantage of the depth that the lateral Boka offers. The main absences of the visiting team are Juan Carlos, Angeleri and Flavio Ferreira, all by injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Malaga won’t win. It’s known that the visiting team has better technical and tactical qualities, however, they’ll face an opponent who, despite the place that occupies, they demonstrate some quality when they play at home, recording three wins in the last four matches counting for the championship. 


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