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Topic: Estoril vs Belenenses - Primeira Liga Rnd.17 10/01/16 16:00  (Read 102 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Estoril vs Belenenses

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      Analysis: Estoril vs Belenenses (10 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 08 2016, 09:01 »

      Estoril and Belenenses meet at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 26‑10‑2014, in a match for the Primeira Liga, Belenenses won by (1‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Kléber (57' ), for Estoril, and by Miguel Rosa (20' ) and Deyverson (60' ), for Belenenses. Although this is a match between 14th and 11th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 11th best in home matches and the 16th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Estoril

      After 4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 14th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Arouca by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Marítimo. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches, with 3 goals scored and 13 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. For the league, Estoril won 12 points out of 21 possible points, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 14 of the last 21 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Estoril comes discouraged for this match after a defeat in the last round for the championship, recording the tenth consecutive match without winning in the competition. Therefore, this match proves to be important for Estoril. So, it’s foreseeable that the coach Fabiano Soares will choose to play with a team focused on attack. It’s important to note that Leo Bonatini is the best team scorer with ten goals scored. Apparently, the Brazilian coach just won’t count on Carlos Diego by suspension. 

      Analysis of Belenenses

      The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 4 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Paços de Ferreira, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Nacional, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches and 15 points at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 10 goals conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 24 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Belenenses has a record of 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 24 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Belenenses comes motivated for this match after the draws in recent matches. These equalities were achieved against opponents with more collective quality. In this match the big goal of Julio Velazquez’s players is take advantage from the bad moment of the home team and then to conquer a triumph for the championship. However, it’s important to note that the team has never won away home. For this match, André Sousa is fulfilling punishment, and Palmeira is recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the occurrence of some goals. We believe this will be an open match with many chances to score for both teams because both teams need, urgently, to get back to victories in the league. So, it’s expectable that this match will finish with some numbers on the scoreboard. 


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