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Topic: Académica vs Tondela - Primeira Liga Rnd.17 10/01/16 16:00  (Read 87 times)

Offline Estatísticas

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    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    Académica 2-1 Tondela


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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Académica vs Tondela

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 151495
      Analysis: Académica vs Tondela (10 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 07 2016, 16:40 »

      Académica and Tondela face at Estádio EFAPEL, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 25‑07‑2015, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Académica. Académica registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Académica

      After 3 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 13 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Sporting Braga by (3‑0), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against União Madeira. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 28 conceded. For the league, Académica won 11 points out of 24 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 8 home matches.

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 7 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Academic comes for this match with a heavy defeat against Braga; however, it’s important to note that they record five consecutive home matches without losing, the last being two victories, over Belenenses and União Madeira. Despite the defeat in the last match, it’s foreseeable that the coach Filipe Gouveia will play in the usual 4-2-3-1. He won’t count on one of his best team players, the captain Nuno Piloto that is suspended for this match. The best player of Academica de Coimbra is the centre forward Rafael Lopes, with four goals scored. Besides Nuno Piloto, Makonda is absent for the match due to injury. 

      Analysis of Tondela

      The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Rio Ave, by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Paços de Ferreira, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Tondela has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 21 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (4 out of 7 matches) and 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 16 matches for the Primeira Liga, and have never reached half‑time in front. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      After the great success achieved against Rio Ave, Tondela returned to the losses for the championship, this time at home against Paços de Ferreira. In this match against Académica, the coach Petit will choose the usual tactical system, the 4-2-3-1, favoring the defensive organization and the long balls to the attack. To point out that the visiting team 'loses' north when they suffer a goal in the first 45' of match. Apparently, the coach won’t count only on Luis Tinoco who is recovering from injury.

      Betting suggestion:

      This will be a very balanced match, with many open match moments, where the teams will seek to attack without worrying about the organization of their defense. Besides this, taking into account the performance of Academica, it’s very likely that they won’t give a defeat in this match with the last place of the championship. So, we believe that to bet in favor of the goals is of great value.

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