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Topic: Wycombe Wanderers vs Aston Villa - FA Cup 3rd Round 09/01/16 12:45  (Read 148 times)

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    Wycombe vs Aston Villa

    Wycombe
    Wycombe
    • 1 - 1
    • Played

    Aston Villa

    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2013-07-20
    2013
    Wycombe 2-2 Aston Villa
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    Stats » FA Cup England » Wycombe Wanderers vs Aston Villa

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      Analysis: Wycombe Wanderers vs Aston Villa (09 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 06 2016, 14:21 »

      Wycombe Wanderers and Aston Villa meet at Adams Park, in a match for this stage of the Copa FA (3ra Ronda). The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 20‑07‑2013, and ended in a draw by (2‑2). Wycombe Wanderers registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Wycombe Wanderers

      The home team comes to this stage of the Copa FA (3ra Ronda) after having eliminated: Millwall and Halifax Town. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the League Two, they got a home loss against Morecambe by (0‑2). In the last 10 home matches Wycombe Wanderers has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In the last 6 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

      Waycombe comes to this match after a 0-2 loss against Morecambe, so they have lost again, after 5 matches with no losses. Coach Gareth Ainsworth should play with the usual 4-4-2 formation, with Hayes and Amadi-Holloway in front. But Garry Thompson is the best scorer of the team, with 7 goals. Ingram is suspended and cannot play this match.

      Analysis of Aston Villa

      The team plays its first match in this edition of the Copa FA with the intention of getting a positive away result. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away loss against Sunderland by (3‑1). In the last 10 away matches Aston Villa has tied 2 and lost 8. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches but have never been able to hold on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

      Aston Villa comes to this match after a terrible sequence of 15 matches with no wins. In this match Rémi Garde should play in the usual 4-3-3 formation, with an offensive strategy. Gestede will play in front, but Scott Sinclair is the best scorer of the team, with 6 goals scored. Carlos Sánchez and Jordan Amavi will be absent in this match, since they are recovering from injuries.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that Aston Villa will win. Despite the home advantage of Waycombe, Aston Villa seems to be in better shape and has more arguments to win. Moreover, Waycombe has presented a few defensive problems that may play an important role in this match.


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      Stats » Copa FA » Wycombe Wanderers vs Aston Villa