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Topic: Montpellier vs Bordeaux - Ligue 1 Rnd.20 09/01/16 19:00  (Read 194 times)

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    • Back @ 2.40 Montpellier

      Market: Match Odds

      -100%
      100%
      Tip justification:
      With that odds i have to go with montpellier here. They are in better form, have h2h advantage in last 3 years and are better team at home. Ubder 2,5 is also very possible but wont go at that odds.
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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Montpellier vs Bordeaux

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    • Posts: 86736
      Analysis: Montpellier vs Bordeaux (09 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 07 2016, 09:08 »

      Montpellier and Bordeaux meet at Stade de la Mosson, in a match for the 20th round of the Ligue 1. These teams have tied (0‑0) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 18‑10‑2015. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 09‑08‑2014, in a match for the Ligue 1, Bordeaux won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by C. Diabaté (17' ). Although this is a match between 15th and 14th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 7th best in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Montpellier

      After 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 15th position, havinf won 22 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Nice by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Guingamp. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 15 points, against only 7 points in away matches. In their last match, for the Coupe de France, they got an away win against RC Épernay by (0‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Montpellier has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 9 of the last 10 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Montpellier comes motivated for this match after an away win, by 0-1, against Epernay, for the French Cup. Lasne, Marveaux and Jourdren are in doubt for this match, because they are injured. Ninga, Yatabaré and Boudebouz make up the home attacking trident, once that they offer to the team various solutions in the creation of finishing situations. In midfield the Montpellier’s team won’t count on Sanson, Martin and Dabo. The home team chooses to adopt a play on the ball possession, attacking, preferably, through the centre aisle. 

      Analysis of Bordeaux

      The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Angers, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Olympique Marseille, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 18 points at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 10 goals conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 18 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Coupe de France, they got an away win against Fréjus St‑Raphaël by (2‑3). In the last 9 away league matches Bordeaux has a record of 5 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 27 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Bordeaux comes motivated for this match after an away victory, by 2-3, against Frejus-St Raphael, counting for the French Cup. One of the best valences of the visitors is the air play, once that the height of their players provides a large capacity for these situations. It’s likely that Bordeaux will use the centre aisle to create more danger situations. The coach will be without Maurice-Belay, Gajic, Chantôme, Pallois neither Sertic, by injury.  

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Montpellier will win. Despite the home team doesn’t be doing a very good league, they act in front of their fans. That is, it’s foreseeable that the team will be more motivated to offer its membership with the three points. To note that Bordeaux can be less available by the absences that has. 


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