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Topic: Montpellier vs Bordeaux - Ligue 1 Rnd.20 09/01/16 19:00  (Read 259 times)

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    Stats » Ligue 1 France » Montpellier vs Bordeaux

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      Analysis: Montpellier vs Bordeaux (09 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 07 2016, 09:08 »

      Montpellier and Bordeaux meet at Stade de la Mosson, in a match for the 20th round of the Ligue 1. These teams have tied (0‑0) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 18‑10‑2015. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Ligue 1, on 09‑08‑2014, Bordeaux won by (0‑1). C. Diabaté (17' ) scored the only goal of the match. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 15th and 14th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 7th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Montpellier

      The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Guingamp, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nice, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 15 points won at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Coupe de France, they got an away win against RC Épernay by (0‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Montpellier has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 9 of the last 10 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Montpellier comes motivated for this match after an away win, by 0-1, against Epernay, for the French Cup. Lasne, Marveaux and Jourdren are in doubt for this match, because they are injured. Ninga, Yatabaré and Boudebouz make up the home attacking trident, once that they offer to the team various solutions in the creation of finishing situations. In midfield the Montpellier’s team won’t count on Sanson, Martin and Dabo. The home team chooses to adopt a play on the ball possession, attacking, preferably, through the centre aisle. 

      Analysis of Bordeaux

      The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Angers, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Olympique Marseille, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 18 at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 10 conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 18 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Coupe de France, they got an away win against Fréjus St‑Raphaël by (2‑3). In the last 9 away league matches Bordeaux has a record of 5 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 27 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Bordeaux comes motivated for this match after an away victory, by 2-3, against Frejus-St Raphael, counting for the French Cup. One of the best valences of the visitors is the air play, once that the height of their players provides a large capacity for these situations. It’s likely that Bordeaux will use the centre aisle to create more danger situations. The coach will be without Maurice-Belay, Gajic, Chantôme, Pallois neither Sertic, by injury.  

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that Montpellier will win. Despite the home team doesn’t be doing a very good league, they act in front of their fans. That is, it’s foreseeable that the team will be more motivated to offer its membership with the three points. To note that Bordeaux can be less available by the absences that has. 


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