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Topic: Moreirense vs Vitória Guimarães - Primeira Liga Rnd.16 06/01/16 16:15  (Read 130 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Moreirense vs Vitória Guimarães

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      Analysis: Moreirense vs Vitória Guimarães (06 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 04 2016, 12:18 »

      Moreirense and Vitória Guimarães meet at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. In 6 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 4, tied 1 and lost 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 11‑04‑2015, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Moreirense. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 11th and 9th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 15th best team in home matches and the 6th best in away matches.

      Analysis of Moreirense

      The home team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Nacional, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Boavista, by (0‑3). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 7 home league matches Moreirense has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 21 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 20 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Moreirense comes to this match after a 0-3 away win over Boavista. Midfielder Vítor Gomes is suspended, after having accumulated 5 yellow cards. Young Iuri Medeiros is a key player in offense and is usually able to create spaces for his teammates. He has scored 4 goals this season. Against a stronger opponent, coach Miguel Leal’s team should present a defensive strategy and try to exploit any mistakes by the away team.

      Analysis of Guimarães

      The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Estoril, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Benfica, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 8 at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 10 goals conceded at home, against 7 goals scored and 11 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 7 away league matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Vitória de Guimarães comes to this match after a 0-1 home loss against Benfica. The away team has had problems creating goal opportunities and finishing offensive moves. Their best scorer, Henrique Dourado, has only scored 4 goals. The away team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with 3 players responsible for trying to reach the opponent goal: Licá, Henrique Dourado and Valente.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal, since they nedd a good result in this round. Therefore, we expect a match played at a good pace and a few goal opportunities. Moreover, both teams have had a interesting exhibitions in the last matches.


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      Stats » Primeira Liga » Moreirense vs Guimarães