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Topic: Valencia vs Real Madrid - Primera División Rnd.18 03/01/16 19:30  (Read 94 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Valencia vs Real Madrid

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      Analysis: Valencia vs Real Madrid (03 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: January 01 2016, 16:43 »

      Valencia and Real Madrid face at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for the 18th round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 04‑01‑2015, in a match for the Primera División, Valencia won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Barragán (52' ) and N. Otamendi (65' ), for Valencia, and by Cristiano Ronaldo (14' ), for Real Madrid. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Valencia

      The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Getafe, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Villarreal, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Valencia has a record of 3 wins and 5 draws, so they have won 14 points out of 24 possible.

      They haven’t lost any of the last 8 home matches for this competition. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Valencia are going through a bad moment of the season, and in the last match they lost by 1-0 against Villarreal. This bad moment of the team ended with the hiring of the new coach Gary Neville. The approach that they are going to use in this match against Real Madrid is unknown because the english have searched a tactical system that favours more the team. However, it's expected that Valencia will give emphasis to the defensive organization, going to the attack through long balls, and then taking advantage from the space of the opponent defense. Paco Alcácer is still in the list of the best scorers of Valencia with 7 scored goals. Feghouli and Mustafi will be absents by injury. 

      Analysis of Real Madrid

      The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Rayo Vallecano, by (10‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Real Sociedad, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Villarreal. In the last 8 away league matches Real Madrid has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 17 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 11 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 11 of them. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Real Madrid come to this match after 2 consecutive victories at home, however, in the last match away home the team suffered a 1-0 defeat against Villarreal. The big goal of the meringue team to this match is going back to the victories away home. To that, the coach Rafael Benítez will choose a very offensive team to take advantage from the bad moment of Valencia. 
      However, the visiting team have many difficulties in the defensive dead balls, and it's expected that Valencia will take advantage from the weakness of Real Madrid. Despite the winger Cristiano Ronaldo to be the best scorer of the team with 25 scored goals, we point out that Benzema is in great performance and motivated to do the difference in this match. Confirmed absences are Carvajal and Varane by injury. 

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario to this match is that Real Madrid will win. Despite have lost the last match away home, Real Madrid look to this match as essential to follow the leader Barcelona. And, even playing at home, it's foreseen that will have more ball possession and will take advantage from the best opportunities to score. Besides to be in a bad moment of the season, Valencia, in this moment, haven't enough resources to stop the powerful Real Madrid. 


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