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Topic: Celta de Vigo vs Ajax - UEFA Europa League Group G Rnd.3 20/10/16 18:00  (Read 77 times)

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    Stats » UEFA Europa League Europe » Celta de Vigo vs Ajax

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      Analysis: Celta de Vigo vs Ajax (20 October 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: October 19 2016, 10:54 »

      Celta de Vigo and Ajax meet at Estadio de Balaídos, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 04‑11‑2003 and ended with the final score: Celta de Vigo (3‑2) Ajax. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Celta Vigo

      After 1 win and 1 draw, the home team comes to this 3rd round in the 2nd position of Group G, with 4 points won. In the previous round, they won at home against Panathinaikos by (2‑0), after they have tied in their first group stage by (1‑1) in an away match against Standard Liège. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against Villarreal by (5‑0). Celta de Vigo has won 7 and lost 3 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 6 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Celta de Vigo comes to this match lacking motivation, after a heavy 5-0 loss against Villareal in the last round of the Spanish league. But in the last round of this group stage of the Europa League they have beaten Panathinaikos by 2-0. In this home match the coach should maintain the usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Iago Aspas in front. The forward is the best scorer of the team, with 2 goals scored so far. However, the home coach will not be able to count on Guidetti, Pablo Hernandez, Beauvue and Néstor Diaz, who are recovering from injuries.

      Analysis of Ajax

      The away team comes to his 3rd round of Group G in the 1st position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins. In their debut in this group stage they won in an away match against Panathinaikos by (1‑2). In the second round, they won at home against Standard Liège by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last match, for the Eredivisie, they got an away win against ADO Den Haag by (0‑2). In the last 10 away matches Ajax has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 4. In the last 8 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

      Ajax is highly motivated by the current form moment. In the last match they have won 2-0, so they now have a record of 9 consecutive wins in official matches: Klaassen and Traoré scored the goals in the last match. Moreover, Ajax has won the two matches played in the group stage so far. Coach Peter Bosz should maintain the usual 4-3-3 formation, privileging ball possession and attacks through the wings. David Klassen stands out in this team, with 6 goals scored and 3 assists. The away coach should have all players available, which means he will present a team in full strength for this match.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is that both teams will score. Taking into account the offensive quality they have shown in recent matches, we expect an open match with goal opportunities for both teams. Moreover, Celta is usually very strong at home and Ajax has gotten interesting any results. Therefore, we expect a match of constant attacks and counterattacks.

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