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Topic: Ponte Preta vs Vitória - Serie A Rnd.30 13/10/16 23:30  (Read 90 times)

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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-06-26
    2016
    Vitória 1-1 Ponte Preta
    2013-11-10
    2013
    Ponte Preta 0-3 Vitória
    2013-08-15
    2013
    Vitória 3-1 Ponte Preta
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    Stats » Serie A Brazil » Ponte Preta vs Vitória

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    • Posts: 152114
      Analysis: Ponte Preta vs Vitória (13 October 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: October 12 2016, 17:45 »

      Ponte Preta and Vitória meet at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in a match for the 30th round of the Serie A. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 26‑06‑2016. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Ponte Preta

      After 11 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 39 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Cruzeiro by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Atlético Mineiro. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Ponte Preta won 20 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Ponte Preta will play at home, trying to recover after their negative results, as they have 3 consecutive losses and 4 matches without a win. In the previous round, they had a 2-0 loss against Cruzeiro and before that, a 2-1 home loss against Atletico-MG. They were having good campaigns a while back, but they weren't able to maintain, with just one win in their last 7 matches. They dropped to 10th place. For this match, they should use a 4-5-1 formation with Roger as their forward.

      Analysis of Vitória

      The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Chapecoense, by (1‑4). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Grêmio, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Vitória has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 1‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

      Vitoria heads into this match after losing again in this competition. They had their positive run come to an end in the previous round, when they faced Gremio at home and had a 1-0 loss, putting and end to their 2 consecutive wins. Before that, they had a 4-1 win against Chapecoense, away from home. They aren't having a great campaign, as they alternate between wins and losses, with mostly losses. They are currently in 15th place and should use a 4-5-1 formation with Ze Love as their forward.

      Betting suggestion:

      This will be a match between two teams with modest campaign, but Ponte Preta is in a better situation. Vitoria has had a bad performance since the beginning, as they are just 2 points ahead of the relegation zone. Ponte Preta had a good campaign in the first half, but wasn't able to repeat in the second half of the season, as they have 3 consecutive losses. So we expect a balanced match, between two very similar teams, but with greater chances for the home team.


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