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Topic: Marítimo vs Estoril - Primeira Liga Rnd.15 02/01/16 16:00  (Read 104 times)

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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Marítimo vs Estoril

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      Analysis: Marítimo vs Estoril (02 January 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: December 31 2015, 15:19 »

      Marítimo and Estoril meet at Estádio dos Barreiros, in a match for the 15th round of the Primeira Liga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 14‑12‑2014, in a match for the Primeira Liga, they tied (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Estoril presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Marítimo

      After 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Arouca by (4‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑4) an away match against Vitória Guimarães. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away win against Porto by (1‑3). For the league, Marítimo won 10 points out of 18 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Marítimo come motivated to this match after a 1-3 victory, at Dragon Stadium, to the first fixture of the Portuguese League Cup. Dyego Sousa is the most offensive reference of the home team, once that he is important in the air play. Against an opponent as Estoril, it's foreseen that Marítimo will come motivated to this match and will control most part of the match on the opponent's midfield. Nonetheless, won't be surprising that, strategically, the home team "will offer" the ball possession to Estoril trying to create danger through quick transitions. 

      Analysis of Estoril

      The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Boavista, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Vitória Guimarães, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Estoril has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 21 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Estoril come discouraged to this match after a 0-1 defeat, at home, against Guimarães. The portuguese Diogo Amado is the main reference of the central area of the visiting team's field, once that the midfielder has an enviable technique and a pass capacity above the average. The brazilian Léo Bonatini is the forward at service, once that the centre forward is the best scorer of the team with 7 scored goals. 

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario to this match is that Marítimo will win. Apart from the home team being motivated after the last match to the League Cup, they will also match an opponent with a terrible register away home. So, it's foreseen that the home team will be superior in most of the match and will conquer the three points. 


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      Stats » Primeira Liga » Marítimo vs Estoril