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Topic: Sunderland vs Liverpool - Premier League Rnd.19 30/12/15 19:45  (Read 122 times)

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    Stats » Premier League England » Sunderland vs Liverpool

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      Analysis: Sunderland vs Liverpool (30 December 2015)
      « Reply #1 on: December 28 2015, 10:29 »

      Sunderland and Liverpool meet at Stadium of Light, in a match for the 19th round of the Premier League. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 10‑01‑2015, Liverpool won by (0‑1). L. Marković (8' ) scored the only goal of the match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

      Analysis of Sunderland

      The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Chelsea, by (3‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Manchester City, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Sunderland has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 24 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 10 of their 28 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Sunderland comes to this match after a 4-1 away loss against Manchester City. The home team is strong in areal play, making good use of the stature of some of its players. They are also very good at holding on to leads, since they know of to be aggressive and put pressure on their opponents. However, Sunderland is a modest team, aware of its weaknesses, so they usually present defensive strategies and try to explore counterattacks. Matthews, Larsson and Kaboul will not be plying, due to injuries.

      Analysis of Liverpool

      The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Watford, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Leicester City, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Liverpool has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Liverpool comes to this match motivated by a 1-0 home win over Leicester City: Benteke scored the only goal of the match (63’). Milner, Rossiter, Flanagan, Sturridge, Skrtel, Gomez and Ings will not be playing, due to injuries. Liverpool likes to control the matches through ball possession, using short passes. They are also very good at set pieces, particularly defensive ones. Benteke is their main offensive reference and usually creates panic amongst the opponent’s defence.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal. Due to the defensive weaknesses of both teams, we expect goal opportunities for both offenses. Moreover, the head to head history shows a tendency for a balanced and open match with a few goals. Liverpool is going through a better moment, but Sunderland has the home advantage and needs to win points to escape the relegation zone.


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